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Seminar on the Demography of Conflict and Violence

Organized by the IUSSP Working Group on the Demography of Conflict and Violence
Thorbjørnrud Hotel, Oslo, Norway, 8-11 November, 2003

Preliminary Programme

Saturday, 8 November
12:00-14:00: Lunch

15:00: Welcome and Introduction
Helge Brunborg, Chair, IUSSP Working Group on the Demography of Conflict and Violence

15:30: Overview of the Demography of Conflict and Violence

Nils Petter Gleditsch
War and Conflict: Definitions, Data, and Demography

Catherine M. Marquette
Human Population Dynamics, Natural Resources and Human Conflict

16:30: Break

16:45: Demographic Causes of Violence

Warren C. Robinson
Differential Natural Increase and International Conflict: Some Historical Perspectives

Richard P. Cincotta
Discordant Demographics: The Demographic Transition as a Statistical Determinant of the Risk of Civil Conflict

Helen Ware
Demography and Conflict in the Pacific

Henrik Urdal
Demographic Change, Resource Scarcity and Violent Conflict: The Case of India

18:45: Adjourn

19:30: Dinner


Sunday, 9 November

09:00: Demographic Consequences of Violence - Mortality

John M. Landers
The Destructiveness of Pre-industrial Warfare: Political and technological determinants

Stephen C. Lubkemann
The Anthropological Demography of Violence and Displacement in “Fragmented Wars”

Ricardo F. Neupert and Virak Prum
Cambodia: Reconstructing the Demographic Stab of the Past an Forecasting the Demographic Scar of the Future

10:00: Break

10:30: Demographic Consequences of Violence - Mortality, continued

Quan Li and Ming Wen
Effects of Civil and Interstate Wars on Human Life Expectancy and Mortality: A Time Series Cross-National Analysis

Ewa M.Tabeau
Casualties of the 1990s War in Bosnia and Herzegovina: A Critique of Previous Estimates and the Latest Results

Beatriz Piedad Urdinola
Could Political Violence Affect Infant Mortality? The Colombian Case

Evert van Imhoff
Discussant

11:30: Discussion

12:30: Lunch

13:30: Visit to Hadeland Glass Factory

15:00: Demographic Consequences of Violence - Fertility and Reproductive Health

Rafiqul H. Chaudhury
Impact of Conflicts an Health/reproductive Health in Nepal & Sri Lanka

Sara Randall
The demographic consequences of conflict, exile and repatriation: a case study of Malian Kel Tamasheq

Linda Bartlett
Maternal mortality and health care access in conflict settings: case studies from maternal mortality studies among Afghan women in refugee camps in Pakistan and in Afghanistan

16:00: Break

16:30: Demographic Consequences of Violence - Fertility and Reproductive Health, contintued

Norma N. Hazboun
Palestinian Refugee Women and Reproductive Politics

Marwan Khawaja
The Intifada, Palestinian Fertility and Women’s Education

17:10: Discussion

18:10: Adjourn

19:30: Dinner


Monday, 10 November

09:00: Methods, Data and Other Issues

Beth Osborne Daponte
Why Estimate Direct and Indirect Casualties from War? The Rule of Proportionality and Casualty Estimates

Philippe Bocquier
Analyzing Low Intensity Conflict in Africa Using Press Reports

Christian Leuprecht
The Politics of Demography in Ethnically Divided Societies: Reflections on Method

10:00: Break

10:30: Methods, Data and Other Issues, continued

Marie L. Besançon
Relative Minimum Resource Thresholds

Ram Babu Bhagat
Hindu-Muslim Tension in India: An Interface between Census and Politics in Colonial India

Christophe Bergouignan
Measuring the demographic consequences of conflict (from methodological principles to specific results): presentation of two experiences

11:30: Discussion

12:30: Lunch

13:30: Demographic Consequences of Violence - Migration

Kavita Singh
Forced Migration and Mortality: A Comparison of Refugee and Host Populations

Colin C. Thomas
Conflict and Migration: The Yugoslav Case

Kevin J A Thomas
The Dynamics of Internal Displacement and Urban Encampment in Sierra Leone

Alma García
The Demography of Migration from Colombia

15:30: Break

16:00: Demography of Genocide

Philip Verwimp
Testing the Double Genocide Thesis for Central and Southern Rwanda

Manus I. Midlarsky
The Demographics of Genocide: Refugees and Territorial Loss in the Genesis of Mass Murder

Sheldon G. Levy
Individual Demography and Tolerance of Political Mass Killing

17:45: Adjourn

19:30: Formal Dinner


Tuesday, 11 November
09:00: Demographic Consequences of Homicides and Domestic Violence

Tirza Aidar
Demographic Effects of Homicides and Its Interaction with the Physical and Social Spaces of the City: the Case of Campinas, Brazil

Irina Gorchkova
Physical Violence: Impact on Women's Reproductive Health and Reproductive Behavior

Sanjay Kumar Mohanty
Domestic Violence in India: An Insight

Seyed Farrokh Mostafavi
Social Reproduction and Value Conflict

10:40: Break and check out

11:10 Perspectives for future work

Erik Klijzing, Executive Director, IUSSP; Nils Petter Gleditsch, Editor of Journal of Peace Research; and Evert van Imhoff, Editor of European Journal of Population
Discussion

13:00: Lunch

15:00: Adjourn