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Scientific Programme - Programme Scientifique

Debate and Special Sessions / Débats et Séances Spéciales

D1 Did Cairo miss the mark? / Le Caire a-t-il manqué son but?
Chair/Président : James Trussell
John Hobcraft, Gita Sen, Malcolm Potts and Diana Sawyer

D2 Are there limits to the human life span? / Existe-t-il des limites à l'espérance de vie humaine?
Chair/Président : Jacques Vallin
James Vaupel, James Carey, Jay Olshanski and James Fries

SP1 Science Policy session: Population and sustainable development / Séance science et politique: population et développement durable
(co-sponsored by UNFPA / Co-sponsorisée par FNUAP)
Chair/Président : Wolfgang Lutz
Nafis Sadik, Mahendra Shah, Carmen Miro, Virginia Toniatti, Paulina Makinwa

D3 Is below replacement fertility here to stay? / La fécondité en dessous du niveau de remplacement va-t-elle durer?
Chair/Président : David Coleman
Ron Lesthaeghe, Gustavo De Santis, Peter MacDonald and H-P. Kohler

D4 Should borders be open? / Les frontières doivent-elles être ouvertes?
Chairs/Présidents : Ronald Lee and Alan Simmons
Charles Keely, David Coleman, R. Tuiran and Antonio Golini




Skill-Building Sessions / Séances Acquisition des Compétences


B1 Communicating to Peers / Communiquer avec ses pairs
Organiser: Patricia Donovan

B2 Communicating with General Audiences / Communiquer avec une audience élargie
Organiser: Beth Fredrick

B3 Communicating with the Media / Communiquer avec les médias
Organiser: Sara Seims



S01 Individual ageing
Chair: Jean-Marie Robine (Cttee on Ageing)
Discussant: Paulo Murad Saad

1. Jean-Pierre Michel
Is frailty inescapable with ageing?

2. Elisabeth H. Corder & Kenneth. G. Manton

Change in the Prevalence of Severe Dementia among Older Americans: 1982 to 1999

3. Laura Pratt; James Lubitz
Illness Burden in the Last Years of Life

4. Elena Vvedenskaia, Irina Vvedenskaia
The Elderly Self - Saved Behaviour

Posters
P1.1 Dilip C Nath, Dona Leonetti & Amal K Deba
Some socio-demographic and ecological correlates of health among elderly population in an Indian society

P1.2 Golam Mostafa
Elderly in Bangladesh: A case of Rural Matlab

P1.3 R.S. Goyal
Is disease and disability burden of elderly women higher than men?

P1.4 Sadasivan Nair
Aged in Kerala, India : social and psychological dimensions



S02 Population ageing
Chair: Hervé Gauthier
Discussant: Antonio Golini

1. Yulfita Raharjo
Ageing in a crisis situation: an Indonesian case

2. Alain Monnier & Sophie Pennec
La mort est au centre de la vieillesse

3.
José.M. Guzman and R. Hakkert
Some Social and Economic Impacts of the Ageing Process in Latin American Countries

4. Xiaochun Qiao
Ageing Issues and Policy Choice in Rural China

Posters
P2.1 Kathryn Yount
Gender, health, and informal support of the elderly: Challenges of population aging in the Middle East

P2.2 Irina Vvedenskaia
Satisfaction with life - one parameter for defining social care of the elderly

P2.3 Olga Collinet Heredia
Le vieillissement dans le Rio Grande do Sul

P.2.4 Moema G. B. Figoli and Laura Rodriguez Wong
The demographic determinants of the ageing process and future population size in selected Latin America countries



S03 The economics of ageing
Chair: Rafael Rofman (Cttee on Age Structure)
Discussant: Shripad Tuljapurkar

1. Jere Behrman,
Duryea Suzanne, & Miguel Székely
Aging and Economic Opportunities: Major World Regions around the Turn of the Century

2.
Fabio Bertranou & Grushka Carlos
Aging and Social Security in Argentina: institutions, public policies and challenges

3. Navaneetham Kannan
Age Structural Transitions and Policy Implications: A Comparative Study of South and Southeast Asia

4.
Cassio Maldonado Turra
Intergenerational Accounting and Economic Consequences of Aging in Brazil

Posters
P3.1 Camarano Ana Amélia
Brazilian elderly: dependence or intergeneration transference?

P3.2 Iwakami Beltrão Kaizô, Francisco Eduardo Barreto de Oliveira, Mônica Guerra
Dependency Ratios: Is there a window of opportunity for social security reforms?

P3.3 Guzmán Molina José Miguel
Social and economic impacts of aging process in four countries of Latin America



S04 Determinants of HIV/AIDS
Chair: Michel Caraël (Cttee on AIDS)
Discussant: Gilles Pison

1. B. Baya & Nicolas Meda
Comportement des jeunes de Bobo-Dioulasso (Burkina Faso) et MST/VIH/SIDA : Espoir ou Inquiétude ?

2. Simon Gregson et al,
School education and avoidance of HIV infection, Zimbabwe

3. Wanja Carolyne Njue,
Sexual behaviour and HIV risk among youth in Kisumu town, Kenya

4. John Cleland,
Post-partum abstinence and HIV risk behaviour,Cote d'Ivoire and Ghana


Posters
P4.1 Laura Bernardi,
AIDS knowledge and risk perception in Kenya

P4.2 Boerma Ties
Trends in age at first sex

P4.3 Chowdury A.M.R.,
AIDS knowledge dissemination in Bangladesh

P4.4 Samuel Kilsztajn, Marcelo Bozzini da Camara
Generation, Transmission Categories and Gender - AIDS in São Paulo, Brazil

P4.5 Koppenhaver Todd,
Waiting to die in Zimbabwe

P4.6 Rafalimanana Hantamalala,
Sexual behaviour in Kenya and Zimbabwe

P4.7
Cathy Toroitich-Ruto
The Effect of HIV/AIDS on Sexual Behavior of Young People in Kenya

P.4.8 V. Jayachandran, L.N. Balaji, C. Chandra Sekhar
New evidence on the knowlege and perception about HIV among indian women

P4.9 Bode-law Faleyimu,
Grooming responsible adolescents in the times of AIDS, in Nigeria

P4.10 Ahsan Ullah,
HIV and commercial sex, Bangladesh

P4.11 Adebola A. Adedimeji; Temple O. Jagha; Eugene Weiss; Joanne E. Mantell; and Lawrence A. Adeokun
HIV/AIDS Infection Risk Assessment Among Family Planning Clients in Ibadan, Nigeria

P4.12 Noemí Lorca
SIDA et prison: Déterminants socio-culturels en vue d'une action de prévention.

P4.13 Rwenge Mburano
Statut de la femme, Comportements Sexuels et MST/SIDA au Cameroun. Le cas des provinces de l'Ouest et du Centre



S05 Consequences of HIV/AIDS
Chair: Michael Bracher (Cttee on AIDS)
Discussant: Simon Gregson

1. M. Giovanna Merli and Alberto Palloni
Impact of HIV/AIDS on living arrangements and intergenerational transfers in countries of Sub-Saharan Africa

2. John Knodel
Return Migration in the Context of Parental Assistance in the AIDS Epidemic: The Thai Experience

3. Niranjan Saggurti, G.Rama Rao, and K.C.Mohanty
Current and future impact of HIV infection on tuberculosis morbidity (A case of Mumbai city in India)

4. Basia Zaba, Mia Crampin, Jessica Nakiyingi, Mark Urassa, Andy Sloggett
The impact of HIV on child mortality: some results from the UNICEF multi-centre study

Posters
P5.1 A.C.Crampin, S.Floyd, F.Sibande, D.Mulawa, P.Broadbent, L.Bliss, B.Ngwira, J.R.Glynn, P.E.M.Fine
Long term follow-up of HIV positive and negative natural history cohorts in rural Malawi

P5.2 Benjamin Zanou, Michel Garenne, Albert Nyakawindemera
Impact du SIDA sur l'évolution de la mortalité à Abidjan.

P5.3 Alex Weinreb, Jere Behrman, Mike Mtika
The effects of ill-health on intrafamilial transfers in Malawi

P5.4 Lisa R. Norman
The Demographic Impact of HIV/AIDS in the Caribbean: A Comparative Analysis

P5.5 Victoria Mazzeo
Facteurs déterminants du SIDA dans la Ville de Buenos Aires dans la décennie des années 90

P5.6 James Ntozi, Innocent Mulindwa, Fred Ahimbisibwe, Natal Ayiga and Jonathan Odwee
Has HIV/AIDS Epidemic Changed Sexual Behaviour and Practices of High Risk Groups in Uganda?



S06 The collection of demographic statistics
Chair: Alphonse MacDonald
Discussant: Alicia Bercovich

1. Werner Haug,
Population Censuses on the Internet

2. Alejandro Giusti
Will the Censuses of Developing Countries Be Able to Face the Future Requests of Information? The Case of Argentina

3. Beatriz Figueroa
Some Considerations About the Relevance and Feasibility of Creating a Population Registry in Mexico

4. Eduardo Arriaga and Dora Celton
The Uncertain Future of Demographic and Social Data Collection

Posters
P6.1 Michael Bubenheim
On Cause of Death Registration Systems in France and Germany

P6.2 Ana Maria Nogales Vasconcelos
L'enregistrement des décès au Brésil: une évaluation de la qualité des statistiques de mortalité par cause

P6.3 Bercovich Alicia
The 2000 Censuses: Lessons for the future in Latin America.

P6.4 Lys-Yolande Hunlede
Méthodologie de mise en œuvre d'un système intégré d'information en matière de population

P6.5 James F. Phillips, Bruce B. MacLeod, Fred N. Binka, Brian Pence, and Pierre Ngom
The Household Registration System: Technology for the Rapid Development of Demographic Surveillance Systems



S07 The politics of demographic statistics
Chair: Alexandre Avdeev
Discussant: Simon Szreter

1. K.V. Ramachandran
The politics of funding, data annd analysis on population - Developing country Experiences

2. Mark Tolts
The Failure of Demographic Statistics: A Soviet Response to Population Troubles

3. Patrick Simon
Politiques publiques et catégorisation des populations : l'origine ethnique dans les statistiques administratives françaises

4. Carlo Corsini
Demographic Statistics and Nationhood: Italy

Posters
P7.1 W.R. Lee.
Federal autonomy and the politics of reform: the standardization of mortality statistics in Germany, c.1850-1914

P7.2 Andrej G.Volkov
Population Statistics in the USSR: flights and downfalls

P7.3 K. Kateb
La statistique démographique coloniale: entre la reproduction du Système métropolitain et les impératifs d'adaptation à la réalité algérienne

P7.4 Marie Ladier-Fouladi
Statistique démographique et pouvoir politique: le cas de l'Iran

P7.5 Bey Benhamadi
L'usage de la démographie dans les institutions publiques canadiennes : l'exemple de la Commission de la Fonction Publique du Canada (CFPC)

P7.6 Ram Babu Bhagat
Politics of Data on Religion in India

P7.7 Pierre Martinot-Lagarde
The intricacy of demography and politics: the case of population projections

P7.8 Zarylbek Kudabaev and Michel Guillot
The Role of Population Statistics within the Institutional Building of a Democratic State: The Case of Kyrgyzstan




S08 Demographic dynamics and environmental change at the local level
Chair: Daniel Hogan
Discussant:Donald Sawyer

1. J. Mayone Stycos
American Public Opinion on Population Size and Growth

2. Alexia Prskawetz, Jiang Leiwen, Brian C. O'Neil
Demographic composition and projections of car use in Austria

3. Ferdinand Ngueyap
La confrontation de l'urbain et du rural des conditions d'hygiène et de salubrité du milieu en Afrique

4. Attila Molnár, Anna Páldy, Alàn Pinter
Étude comparative de la morbidité de la population adulte des localités avec une differente pollution d'air

Posters
P8.1 Gebremariam Woldemicael
Diarrheal morbidity among young children in Eritrea: environmental and socio-economic determinants

P8.2 Emmanuel Ngwé
Les défis environnementaux de la croissance urbaine en Afrique

P8.3 Ndalahwa F. Madulu
Population dynamics and sustainable conservation of protected areas in Tanzania: the case of Swagaswaga Game Reserve in Kondoa District

P8.4 Neira Orjuela Fernando
Productive transformations and family dynamics in a transitional context from rural to urban. The case of the hothouses in Caltongo-Xochimilco (México D.F.)

P8.5 Roberto Luiz do Carmo
Is water the limit? Spatial distribution of population and water resources in São Paulo State, Brazil

P8.6 Bakwate Antoine Banza Nsungu
Environnements à risque sanitaire chez les enfants au Cameroun: analyse évolutive des disparités socio-espatiales de morbidité diarrhéique em ville et en campagne (1991-1998)

P8.7 Nashid Kamal, Rumana Rashid
The role of environmental factors as determinants RTI/STD symptoms among women in the urban slums of Dhaka City: a multilevel analysis

P8.8 Sudesh Nangia
Population and Environment Interface in the Great Himalayan National Park

P8.9 Malcolm Potts
Family planning in ecologically vulnerable areas



S09 Population and environment - Global
Chair: Brian O'Neill
Discussant: Vinod Mishra

1. Van Arsdol, Maurice D. et al.
Local population impacts and mitigation of sea level rise.

2. Meyerson, Frederick
Human population density, deforestation and protected areas management: A multi-scale analysis of central america, Guatemala, and the Maya Biosphere Reserve

3. Knerr, Beatrice
Interactions between desertification and population movements

4. Shi, Anqing
Population Growth on Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions

Posters
P9.1 Goldemberg, Jose
The nexus fertility and energy consumption



S10 Poverty and inequality
Chair: Paulo Paiva (Cttee on Poverty)
Discussant: TBI

1. Arjunan Subramanian
Are Income-Calorie Elasticity's Really High in Developing Countries? Some Implications for Nutrition and Income.

2. Chrysanth Lwechungura Kamuzora
Less Poverty with Higher Household Size in the Eastern and Southern African Region

3. Simone Wajnman and Naercio Menezes-Filho
The Effect of Brazilian Demographic Changes on Wage Inequality

4. Silvia Pasqua
Wive's Work and Income Distribution in European Countries

Posters
P10.1 Timmou Joseph-Pierre
Pauvreté en Afrique: une question individualle ou collective?

P10.4 Bruce K Caldwell
Pavement Dwellwes Surveys, Dhaka, Bangladesh

P10.5 Abddas U. Bhuiya
Social Inequality in Child Mortality in Rural Bangladesh

P10.6 Carlos Arieira and Kingsley Haynes
Human and Social Capital Within Brazilian Families: Some Contrary Findings

P10.7 Elena Bardasi, Stephen Jerkins and John Rigg
Retirement and the Economic Well-being of the Elderly: a British Perspective

P10.8 Christina Okojie
Female-Headed Household, Poverty and Inequality in Nigeria

P10.9 João Francisco Abreu and José Irineu Rigotti
Mapping Regional Inequalities in Brazil: The Spatial Cluster of Poverty

P10.10 Omar Arias
Education, Family Background and Racial Wage Inequality in Brazil

P10.11 A.M.R. Chowdhurdy and Abbas Bhuiya
Poverty Alleviation Programs Reduce Inequality In Health

P10.12 Erika Medici,
Variance of the Inequality Indices for Selected Areas in Brazil

P10.13 Maria Simion
Population Change and Income Distribution in the Transition Economy in Romania

P10.14 Jaime Saavedra and Martin Valdivia
Household Structure and Poverty over the Life Cycle: A First Look at Evidence from Peruvian Cohorts



S11 Family formation (A)
Chair: François Heran
Discussant: Laurent Toulemon

1. Pau Miret
Are household and family constitution patterns in Europe related to the educational and activity structure?

2. Julieta Quilodrán Salgado
L'union consensuelle latinoaméricaine a-t-elle changé de nature ?

3. France Prioux
La formation des familles en Europe vue à travers les enquêtes FFS

4. Zheng Wu and Randy Hart
Marital and nonmarital union disruption in Canada

Posters
P11.1 Dominique Lopez et Michel Garenne
Niveau et facteurs de la fécondité prémaritale en Namibie

P11.2 Joshua R. Goldstein
Has marriage really declined in industrialized countries?

P11.3 Pau Baizán, Francesco C. Billari and Arnstein Aassve
Cohabitation, marriage, first birth: inter-relationship of family formation events in Spain

P11.5 Mary E. Deeb, Joumana Yeretzian, Young Kim
Widowhood and risk of mortality during wartime: Beirut 1984-1994

P11.6 Sayeed Unisa
Childlessness and Marital Stability and Instability in India

P11.7 María Celina Ananos
Lien consensuel en fonction de l'éducation. Son évolution en Argentine entre 1960 et 1991

P11.8 Devendra P. Shrestha
Social and economic change and family formation: results of a micro demographic study from Nepal

P11.9 John Lievens, Patrick Lusyne
Partner selection and divorce in ethnic minorities



S12 Changing family networks
Chair: Vania Salles
Discussant: Maria De La Paz Lopez

1. Elsa López
Family formation and reproduction in Buenos Aires, Argentina

2. André Quesnel
La construction d'une économie familiale d'archipel : mobilités, réticulation des espaces de reproduction sociale et recomposition des relations inter-générationnelles en milieu rural

3. Mercedes González de la Rocha
Networks: A Changing Construction

4. Madhumita Das
Changing Family System Among a Matrilineal in India

3. Xavier Thierry
La mortalité des mariés : y a-t-il un effet lune de miel ?

Posters
P12.1 Julieta Quilodrán
Conjugal matching: a rarely studied dimension of couple formation

P12.2 Cristina Freguja and Linda L. Sabbadini
Women as crucial "pivots" of the informal support network: evidence from italian multipurpose surveys

P12.3 Adele Menniti and Rossella Palomba
Family and social networks in Italy

P12.4 Sarah Hillcoat-Nallétamby and A.Dharmalingam
Inter-generational solidarity in New Zealand: exchanges of assistance between mid-life individuals and their families

P12.5 Lynda Clarke and Helen Prophet
Grandparenting in a changing family context

P12.6 Andrea Federico
Family changes in two cities: Buenos Aires and Sao Paulo

P12.7 Leonor Ruiz
Single-motherhood in Spain. Some distinctive characteristics

P12.8 Julia Pauli
Kinship, networks and fertility. The transformation of families in rural Mexico

P12.9 Neira Orjuela Fernando
Productive transformations and family dynamics in a transitional context from rural to urban . The case of the hothouses in Caltongo-Xochimilco (México D.F.)



S13 New living arrangements
Chair: Michael Murphy
Discussant: Elisabete Doria Bilac

1. Francesco C. Billari, Alessandro Rosina, Rita Ranaldi and Clelia Romano
Young adults fuzzily living with their parents: a multilevel analysis of the Italian case.

2. Isabella G. Carneiro, Lisbeth B. Knudsen, Rafael G. Osorio
Late stayers : who are they ? - The home leaving process in Brazil and Denmark.

3. Jürgen Dorbritz
Living arrangements in Germany - Pluralisation or polarization? The consequences for future fertility trends.

4. Laurent Toulemon
Men's Fertility and family size as compared to women's



S14 Adult mortality in developing country: Estimates procedures
Chair: Juan Chackiel
Discussant: Ian Timaeus

1. Kenneth Hill
Methods for measuring adult mortality in developing countries: A comparative review.

2. André Medici & Jorge Bravo
Indirect estimates of the prevalence and mortality due to Chagas, Malaria and Tuberculosis in Bolivia.

3. Joseph A.L. Kamara & Antonia H. Lansana
The use of Model Systems to link child and adult mortality levels: Peru Data.

4. Christopher JL Murray, Michel Guillot, Omar B Ahmad, Alan D Lopez
Estimating a complete life table form 5q0 and 45q15: the WHO procedure.

Posters
P14.1 Abdur Razzaque, Peter Kim Streatfield and Mamunur Rashid.
Levels, trends and determinants of adult mortality in Matlab, Bangladesh.

P14.2 Ranjana Singh
Estimation of Adult Mortality for India and its major States, 1991.

P14.3 Irina Peaucelle
Human Life and Economy: Focus on the Russian Case

P14.4 Anna-Maria Vanneste and Victoria Hosegood
Estimating adult HIV/AIDS mortality in highly mobile, rural South African populations.



S15 Mortality and ageing
Chair: John Wilmoth
Discussant: TBI

1. Aline Désesquelles and France Meslé,
Apport de la prise en compte des causes multiples de décès dans l'analyse de la mortalité aux âges élevés

2. Neir Antunes Paes,
Elderly mortality in Brazil: Trends, differentials, causes and links with socioeconomic indicators

3. Robert R. Bourbeau,
La "sélection d'immigrants en bonne santé" explique-t-elle le profile particulier de la mortalité canadienne aux
grands âges?


4. Iliana Kohler, Hans-Peter Kohler, and James W. Vaupel,
Can frailty models explain mortality differentials by sex and socioeconomic status?

Posters
P15.1 Heather Booth
Ageing and the adult mortality transition: decomposition by sex and cause

P15.2 Qihua Tan
Chinese longevity from 805 BC to 1872: evidence from historical records

P15.4 Patrick Deboosere
Can regional patterns of mortality in Belgium be explained by individual socio-economic characteristics?

P15.7 Runlong Huang
Studies on Elderly mortality in China

P15.8 Sui-lan Karen Cheung
Does the compression of mortality occur in the Hong Kong population?

P15.9 Subrata Lahiri
Mortality situation during different stages of infancy, and early childhood period among some selected Indian states: An analysis based on SRS data

P15.10 Sutapa Maiti
Differential mortality among the twins and singletons in India: An analysis of its various correlates

P15.11 Luiz Vieira Junior
Regional differences estimating risks of infant mortality in Brazil: comparing social and economic factors

P15.12 Komatsu Ryuichi
Characteristic changes of life table in Japan from 1891 to 1995

P15.13 Michel Poulain
De l'impact du mois de naissance sur la longévité



S16 Maternal mortality
Chair: Kenneth Hill
Discussant: Carla Abouzahr

1. P.N. Mari Bhat
Maternal Mortality in India: An Update

2. Giles Pison, E. Guyavarch, B. Kodio & J.F. Etard
La Mortalite Maternelle en Milieu Rural au Senegal

3. G. Quinones Fernando R. and D. Reher
Mother's Death and Children's Health

4. Sandra Valongueiro-Alves
Maternal Mortality inf Brazil: An Estimation to Pernambuco

Posters
P16.1 Tania Lago and S Serruya
The Decline in Cesarian Section Rates in Brazil

P16.2 Zoe Matthews, Louise Hulton and Will Stones
Applying a framework for the measurement of quality of care in maternity services: A case study of urban India



S17 Disability
Chair: Graziella Caselli
Discussant: David E. Horlacher

1. Zeng Yi and James W. Vaupel
Functional capacity and self-evaluation of health and life among the oldest-old in China

2. Yasuhiko Saito
Changes in the level of disability in Japan: 1992-1998

3. Ben Rickayzen
A multistate model of disability for the UK: Implications for future need for long term care for the elderly

4. Jean Marie Robine and Carol Jagger
A new approach to the study of disability

Posters
P17.1 Arvind Zodgekar
Implications of New Zealand's Ageing Population for Human Support & Health Funding.

P17.2 Maria I.C.A. Parahyba, Cristina N. Tereza, Erika Medici, and Renati P. Veras
Disability among the elderly population in Brazil: Determinants and differentials

P17.3 Lorne Tepperman
Effects of caregiving on mental and physical health and well-being

P17.5 Rita Khayat and Abla Sibai
War and non-war related disabilities in Lebanon: Socioeconomic and demographic consequences.

P17.6 Sheriff S.T. Sonko
The demographic and health aspects of disability in The Gambia, 1998

P17.7 Aparajita Chattopadhyay
How healthy our elderly are: A study of the pensioners in Bombay (Mumbai), India

P17.8 Samir Guha Roy
Demographic methods of standardisation needed for valid cross-national comparison of disability-free life expectancy

P17.9 Eugeny Soroko
Modeling heterogeneity of disability in the population



S18 Emerging health threats (A)
Chair: Vladimir Shkolnikov (Cttee on Emerging Health Threats)
Discussant: Mark Field

1. Caselli Graziella, Mesle France, Vallin Jacques
Les entorses au schéma de la transition épidémiologique.

2. McKee Martin & Ellen Nolte
Emerging diseases - the need for a new research framework.

3. Shiffman Jeremy, Tanya Beer & Yonghomg Wu
How infectious Disease Priorities Spread: Global battles against polio, malaria and tuberculosis

4. Kunstadter Peter
Emerging health threats associated with "development": Hmong highlanders in Thailand

Posters
P18.1 Nolte Ellen, McKee Martin
Lessons from the health effects of political transition in Europe: the importance of time

P18.2 Krumins, Juris
The mortality consequences of the onset of transition: case of Latvia

P18.3 Zwang Julien
Prévalence et cartographie des personnes infectées par la tuberculose en milieu rural sud-African



S19 Fertility transition
Chair: Susan Watkins
Discussant: Mercedes Concepcion

1. Jean-Pierre Bocquet-Appel, S. Irudaya Rajan and J.N. Bacro
Onset of india's fertility transition

2. Andre Caetano
Fertility Transition and the Diffusion of Female Sterilization in Northeastern Brazil: The Roles of Medicine and Politics

3. Tom Moultrie
Racism and Reproduction: The Institutional Effects of Apartheid on the South African Fertility Decline

4. Eliya Msiyaphazi Zulu and Gloria Chepngeno
Policy environment and the rapidity of fertility decline in Sub-Saharan Africa: A comparison of Kenya and Malawi

Posters
P19.2 Andro Armelle
Evolution des comportements contraceptifs masculins et féminins en Afrique de l'Ouest: la plate forme d'action du Caire constitue-t-elle une rupture ?

P19.3 Brugeilles Carole
Transition de la fécondité. L'exemple de la Basse Californie au Mexique.

P19.4 Devendra Kothari
Poverty and Fertility vis-a-vis Population Programme Management: A Case Study in Rural India

P19.5 Aka Kouamé et Banza Ngunsu
Social change, population policy and the Akan reproductive model (Ghana and Côte d’Ivoire)

P19.6 Joseph Véronique, Garenne Michel
Fertility decline in Sub-Saharan Africa : when did it start ?

P19.7 Lopez Dominique, Garenne Michel
Niveaux et facteurs de la fécondité prémaritale en Namibie

P19.9 Zahia Ouadah-Bédidi
La baisse de la fécondité algérienne : un processus de diffusion géographique?

P19.10 David Achanfuo Yeboah
Barbados fertility transition



S20 Family planning
Chair: Luis Rosero-Bixby (Cttee on Fertility & Family Planning)
Discussant: Steven Sinding

1. Bairagi, Radheshyam.
Demographic transition in Bangladesh: What happened here in the 20th Century and what is next?

2. Mehryar, Amir H. et al.
Iranian Miracle: How to Raise Contraceptive Prevalence Rate to 75% and Cut TFR by Two-thirds in less than a Decade?

3. Phillips, James et al.
Can Family Planning Services Induce Reproductive Change? Evidence From The Navrongo Community Health And Family Planning Project In Northern Ghana

4. Potter, Joseph, et al.
Inequities and Policy Dilemmas in the Course of an Unregulated, Spontaneous Fertility Transition: The case of Brazil

Posters
P20.1 Abbasi, Mohammad Jalal et al..
Revolution, War and Modernization: Population Policy and Fertility Changes in Iran

P20.2 Remoaldo, Paula Cristina Almeida
The past, present and future of family planning in Portugal

P20.3 Attané, Isabelle.
China's family planning program against women's interest?

P20.4 Brugeilles, Carole
Offre et demande de Planification familiale. L'exemple de la politique démographique mexicaine

P20.5 Capo-Chichi, Virgile
Weak Family Planning Programmes and Fertility decline:the path to massive illegal abortions

P20.6 Goldberg, Howard. Irina Troitskaia et al.
Contraceptive Use in Post-Soviet Russia: Evidence from Recent Survey Research

P20.7 Mosleh-Uddin, Mohamed.
Successful Family Planning Situation in the Islamic Republic of Iran



S21 Approaches to measuring abortion
Chair: TBI
Discussant: John Bongaarts

1. Rajib Acharya
Estimating parity specific rate of induced abortion: a new approach

2. Radheshyam Bairagi
Abortion: An emerging issue to meet son preference and fertility control in Bangladesh

3. Stanley Henshaw
Estimating induced abortion incidence from the proportion of repeat abortions

4. Diana Lara
Measuring the prevalence of induced abortion in Mexico: comparison of four methodologies

Posters
P21.1 M. Kapil Ahmed
Consequences of induced abortion in rural Bangladesh

P21.2 Jennifer Blum, Selma Hajri, Beverly Winikoff, Hela Chélli, Farouk Ben Mansour, Nahid Gueddena
Expanding access and simplifying the medical abortion regimen: Results of a study investigating provision of medical abortion to adolescent and young, unmarried women in Tunis, Tunisia

P21.3 Josefina Cabigon
Sealed envelope technique in measuring abortion prevalence from surveys

P21.4 Martha Cambell, Malcolm Potts
Is replacement level fertility possible without access to induced abortion?

P21.5 Shelley Clark, Usha Krishna, Lisa Kallenbach, Ajita Mandlekar, Veena Raote, Charlotte Ellertson
Pain management preferences for first trimester abortion in India

P21.6 Shelley Clark, Kelly Blanchard, Loren Galvão, Horace Fletcher, Jennifer Blum, and Beverly Winikoff
Misoprostol for abortion indications: Knowledge and uses of misoprostol among providers in Brazil, Jamaica, and the U.S.

P21.7 Catherine de Guibert-Lantoine
Paradoxes of contraception and abortion in a developed country

P21.8 Agnès Guillaume
Contraception et avortement: deux modes de regulation de la fecunidite a Abidjan (Côte d'ivoire)

P21.9 M.E.Khan, Sandhya Barge, Ranjana Sinha
A qualitative study of decision making process in seeking abortion

P21.10 M.E.Khan, Sandhya Barge, Nayan Kumar

Availability and access to abortion services in India: Myth and realities

P21.11 Norma Ojeda, Selina Espinoza
Abortion in the international cross-border context of Tijuana/San Diego

P21.12 Sara Peracca
Abortion and economic change in Thailand

P21.13 Anand Tamang, Bhim Suwal, Binod Nepal and Ramesh Adhikari
Contraceptive failures, unwanted pregnancies and induced abortions in Nepal

P21.14 Turgay Unalan, Ahmet Icduygu
Contraceptive use patterns before and after induced abortions

P21.15 Sayeed Unisa, R.K.Sinha, C.P. Prakasam
A study of sex selective abortion: methodological issues



S22 Male reproduction and sexual roles
Chair: Axel Mundigo (Cttee on Reproductive Health)
Discussant: Brigida Garcia

1. Freguja, Cristina, Romina Fraboni, Alessandro Rosina, Linda Laura Sabbadini
Transition to Fatherhood in Italy

2. Hull, Terence H.
Putting Men in the Picture: Problems of Male Reproductive Health in Southeast Asia

3. Oliveira, Maria Coleta, Elizabete Dória Bilac & Malvina Muszkat
Men and contraception: a study on middle-class Brazilian men

4. Pantelides, Edith Alejandra,
Convergence and Divergence: Reproduction-related knowledge, attitudes and behavior among young urban men in four Latin American cities

Posters
P22.2 Costello, Marilou , Lita Sealza, Zimmbodilion Mosende, Dale Huntington, Rebecka Lundgren, Myrna Seidman;
Using Community Agricultural Workers to Enhance Male Involvement in Reproductive Health (Philippines)

P22.3 Khan, M. E.
Male Involvement in Reproductive Health: Lesson Learned From Some Action Projects In India

P22.4 Kulczycki, Andrzej
Continuity and Change in Male Reproduction and Sexual Roles in Southern Lebanon: Effects on Age at Marriage and Contraceptive Use in a Shi'a Muslim Community

P22.5 Mehryar, Amir H, F. Mostafavi, & Homa Agha;
Men and Family Planning in Iran

P22.6 Oyosi, Salome Omuyoma,
Contraceptive methods attributes, men's attitudes and the male role in fertility regulation

P22.7 Paz-Soldán, Valerie, Thomas Bisika, Joseph deGraft-Johnson and Amy Tsui,
Sexual Risk Behaviors among Men in Malawi: A District-Level Study of Social, Economic and Demographic Determinants

P22.8 Bella C. Patel and M. E. Khan
Gender Based Violence During Pregnancies: Myth and Realities



S23 Values orientations and reproductive behaviour
Chair: Ron Lesthaeghe
Discussant: Susan Watkins

1. Oka Obono
Matriclan priests and fertility among the duolineal Yakurr of Southeastern Nigeria

2. Eduardo L.G. Rios-Neto
Television, value constructs and reproductive behavior in Brazilian "excluded" communities

3. Danielle Gauvreau
Les transitions de la fécondité au Canada: l'explication culturelle revisitée

4. Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna
The structural characteristics and values of both partners in ex-plaining marital and reproductive behaviour

Posters
P23.1 Elisabete D. Bilac
The family man: conjugality and fatherhood among middle class Brazilian men in the 1990s

P23.2 Erika Troncoso
Reproductive behavior in ethnic groups in Mexico

P23.3 Annette Kohlmann
Fertility intentions in a cross-cultural view: the value of children reconsidered.

P23.4 Emmanuel Chike Ihejiamaizu
Ideational values and couples reproductive behaviour in Abia State, Nigeria



S24 Sexual behaviour
Chair: Michel Bozon
Discussant: Gilles Pison

1. Annabel Desgrées du Loû, Hermann Brou
La reprise des relations sexuelles après une naissance: normes, pratiques, négociations à Abidjan (Côte d'Ivoire)

2. Eduardo Goldstein &
Elza Berquo
Une Etude Comparée de l'Activité Sexuelle au Chili et au Bresil

3. Fausta Ongaro
First sexual intercourse in Italy: a shift towards an even more personal experience

4. Osmo Kontula
Response rate and selection bias in a sex survey in Finland: an empirical test

Posters
P24.1 Tom Zhuwau, Anne Bakilana
Age at first sex and trends among men in Tanzania and Zambia

P24.2 R.S. Goyal
Perception of Indian men and women on sexuality and sexual health

P24.3 Kathleen Ford, Dewa Wirawan,
Female sex workers in low price brothels of Bali, Indonesia

P24.4 Saritha Nair
An exploratory study of clients of female sex workers in a city of Kerala

P24.5 Rosa Geldstein & Edith Alejandra Pantalides
I don't want to but ... Sexual Initiation Under Coercion in the Buenos Aires Metropolitan Area

P24.6 Elizabeth Jackson, P. Akweongo, J. Philips, S. Appiah-Yeboah
Determinants and fertility consequences of post partum abstinence in a rural setting of Northern Ghana

P24.7 Alessandra Sampaio Chacham, Monica Bara Mala
Sexual practices and the prevention of AIDS/STDs among sex workers in Belo Horizonte, Brazil

P24.8 Mburano Rwenge
Statut de la femme, comportements sexuels et MST/SIDA au Cameroun. Le cas des provinces de l'Ouest et du Centre



S25 The demography of forced migration and displaced persons
Chair: Charles Keely (W.G.on Forced Migration)
Discussant: Carolyn Makinson

1. Anil Gumber
Changes in Demographic and Social Conditions of Displaced Families: The Case of a Major Irrigation Project in India

2. Sara Randall
Demographic consequences of being refugees: Malian Kel Tamasheq

3. Holly Reed
Vulnerability to Mortality in Settings of Forced Migration

4. Laura Rodríguez Wong, José Teixeira L. Ribeiro and Rosemary Barber-Madden
Demographic Dynamic of war refugees and displaced population: Angola (1999/2000)



S26 International migration - Micro
Chair: Nasra Shah
Discussant: Hania Zlotnik

1. Carl Mosk
Asian immigrants to the Pacific Northwest: Canadian and American experiences compared

2. María Cristina Cacopardo and Alicia Maguid
Argentina: International migrants and gender inequality in the labour market

3. Ismet Koc and Isil Onan
The impact of the remittances of international migrants on the standard of living of the left-behind families in Turkey

4. Ahmet Icduygu and Turgay Unalan
Tides between Mediterranean shores: Undocumented migration in the south of Europe

Posters
P26.1 Alejandro Giusti
Argentina: Mobility, network of exchange and circulation among migrants from bordering countries: A supplementary study based on the 2001 census

P26.3 Adepoju Aderanti
Fostering the movement of persons in West Africa: Achievements, pitfalls, and proposals for intraregional migration

P26.4 Gustavo Verduzco
Changes in the rural environment and Mexican migration to the United States

P26.5 Douma Jean Baptiste
Immigration et intégration des congolais (Brazzaville) en France

P26.6 Afsar Rita
Are Migrants Chasing after Perilous Illusion?
A Study on Cost-Benefit Analysis of Overseas Migration by the Bangladeshi Labour



S27 International migration - Macro
Chair: Antonio Golini
Discussant: TBI

1. Uma Sahaand Parveen Nangia
Profile of Emigrants rom India: A Comparative Study of Kerala and Punjab with Special Reference to Canada.

2. Adela Pellegrino
International Migration in Latin America During the Second Half of the 20th Century.

3. Melinda Mills
The Socioeconomic Effects of Immigration on Caribbean Microstates

4. Vladmir Iontsev and Irina Ivakhniouk
International Migration of Population and Development: Contemporary Trends in Russia

Posters
P27.1 Alejandro I. Canales and Cristbal Mendoza
Migration, Remittances, and Local Development in Western Mexico

P27.2 Gaetano Ferrieri
Immigration and Unemployment Changes in the European Union

P27.3 Runlong Huang
Illegal migrants from China.

P27.5 Peter Selman
The Movement of Children for Intercountry Adoption: A Demographic Perspective

P27.6 David M. Heer
When Cumulative Causation Conflicts with Saturation of Economic Opprtunity: Recent Changes in the Hispanic Population of the U.S. by State.

P27.7 Mehdi Lahlou
Subsaharan Migration Networks Through Morocco

P27.8 Mahamed Khachani
Les Femmes Maghrebines Imigrees das l'Espace Economique des Pays d'Accueil

P27.9 Teresa Sales
Brazilian International Migration

P27.10 Joao Baptista Kukumbo
Migrations et Diaspores: Considerations sur la Position de l'aile Politique dans L'Immigration Refugees en France



S28 Internal migration: Health, education, and development consequences
Chair: Gordon De Jong
Discussant: Graeme Hugo

1. Rachel Connely, Kenneth Roberts, Zhenming Xie & Zheng Zhenshen
Preliminary Findings from a Study on the Impact of Migration on the Status of Women and Reproductive Health in Rural China

2. Richard White, H. Grosskurth, B. Zaba
The impact of internal mobility on HIV spread in rural East Africa

3. Joaquin Recano-Valverde & Marta Roig-Vila
Internal migration and inequalities: The influence of migrant origin on educational attainment in Spain

4. Alexandre Diniz
Mobility and evolving frontier settlements: The case of central Roraima State, Brazil


Posters
P28.1 Chaves, Maria de Fatima Guedes and Jose Marcos Pinto de Chunha
Migrant women in Brazil

P28.2 Hossain, M.A.
Rural-urban migration in Bangladesh: A micro-level study

P28.3 Iredale Robyn
Implications for China of internal minority mobility

P28.4 Le Van Thanh
Migration et urbanisation au Viet-Nam: changements depuis la politique du "Renouveau"

P28.5 Muhidin, Salahudin Salut
Analysis of internal migration in Indonesia: An assessment of the effect of education and employment variables

P28.6 Praween Kr. Agrawal
A study of immigration in Delhi: An analysis using GIS

P28.7 Oyekanomi Felicia
Fertility and mortality differentials by migration status in Nigeria

P28.8 Bhattacha Sanghita
Trends in female migration and their employment status in India



S29 Spatial demographic analysis
Chair: Jean-Pierre Bocquet-Appel
Discussant: Daniel Courgeau

1. Francesco Billari and Ricardo Borgoni
Spatial profiles in an event history approach: first sexual intercourse in Italy

2. Daniel Delaunay
L'inscription dans l'espace des biographies individuelles

3. Bruno Schoumaker
Une analyse multiniveaux dynamique de la fécondité maritale au Maroc rural

4. Roy Treadway
Identifying multiple nuclei of metropolitan areas using an employment approach

Posters
P29.1 Abreu Joao F. and Machado Claudio C.
Elderly migration flows in Brazil: a spatial analysis

P29.2 Aris Ananta, Evi Nurvidya Anwar and Riyana Miranti
Migration and job changes: a case study during Indonesian crisis

P29.3 Banza Nsungu B. A.
Evolution des disparités socio-spatiales de morbidité diarrhéique chez les enfants au Cameroun de 1991 à 1998: application de l'analyse contextuelle

P29.5 Delajara Marcelo and Nicolini Esteban
Short-run malthusian patterns and regional differentiation in Argentina

P29.6 Gomez da Conceicao Maria C. and Torrez Diana
Users of heath services in Mexico city: a complex structure of coverage and accessibility

P29.7 Gualberto Lizandro N. and Teixeira Joao G.
Intra-city segregation by place of residence in the metropolitan area of Belo Horizonte - Brazil

P29.8 Kalam E. M. N. and Khan H. T. A.
A multilevel modeling of contraceptive prevalence in Bangladesh

P29.10 Eva Lelièvre, Catherine Bonvalet and Géraldine Vivier
Présentation de l'enquête Biographie et entourages


S30 Economics and demography of the families
Chair: Alessandro Cigno
Discussant: Anne Solaz

1. Rolf Aaberge, Ugo Colombino & John E. Roemer
Equality of opportunity vs. equality of outcome in evaluating income redistribution policies: empirical evidence based on Italian data

2. Edith Duclos, Pierre Lefebvre and Philip Merrigan
A 'Natural Experiment' on the Economics of Storks: Evidence on the Impact of Differential Family Policy on Fertility Rates in Canada

3. Daniela Del Boca and Rocio Ribero
The effect of child support policies on visitations and transfers

4. Anne H. Gauthier, Timothy Smeeding and Frank F. Furstenberg Jr.
Parenatal time across nations, time, and across family types

Posters
P30.2 Suzanne Eckhardt
Are married couples' migration decisions Pareto-efficient?

P30.3 Anne Solaz
Unemployment, household and marital gain: evidence from French couples

P30.4 Alessandra De Rose and Anna Tronu
Couple dissolution and differences in work experience between the partners



S31 Mass media and demographic behaviour
Chair: TBI
Discussant: Maria Coleta Oliveira

1. Eduardo Rios-Neto, Joseph Potter, Emile McAnany and Paula Miranda-Ribeiro
Television and reproductive behavior in Brazil: A reception study

2. Esther Hamburger & Heliosa Buarque de Almeida
Telenovela, gender and demography in Brazil

3. Janet Dunn
Mass media and individual reproductive behavior

4. Maura Misiti
The 6 billion day: An Italian survey on public opinion and mass media

Posters
P31.1 Nick Parr
Mass media promotion of family planning and the use of modern contraception in Ghana

P31.2 Andrew S. Karlyn
An assessment of a targeted radio campaign to prevent STDs and HIV/AIDS in Mozambique

P31.3 Fannie Fonseca-Becker
Gender, personnal networks and mass media

P31.4 Charles Katende, Neeru Gupta and Ruth Bessinger
The impacts of mass media exposure on reproductive health knowledge and behaviors in Uganda



S32 The demography of children and adolescents
Chair: Maria Helena Henriques Mueller
Discussant: Huda Zurayk

2. Jean Paul Toto,
Déterminants familiaux de la scolarisation et enfance de la rue en Afrique: les leçons de l'experience ivoirienne

4. Narayan Sastry and Sarah Burgard,
The Decline in Diarrheal Disease Among Brazilian Children, 1968 to 1996

Posters
P32.1 Rebecca Sear and Ruth Mace,
The impact of kin on child mortality and anthropometric status in a rural Gambian population

P32.2 Santosh Jatrana,
Infant survival at low cost: the effect of colostrum on infant mortality in rural north India

P32.3 Tania Lustosa,
Nutritional Profile of the Northeastern and Southeastern Population In Brazil

P32.4 Jeronimo Oliveira Muniz,
An Empirical Approach for Child Labour in Brazil

P32.5 Roberto Nascimento Rodrigues,
Health factors associated with neonatal mortality in Brazil

P32.6 David Lam, Suzanne Dureya and Deborah Levison,
Effects of Economic Shocks on Children's Employment and Schooling in Brazil



S33 Social policy and demographic behaviour
Chair: Anne H. Gauthier
Discussant: TBI

1. Gijs Beets
Labour market behaviour and wish for children: is a call for policy measures becoming relevant?

2. Amandine Lebugle
Les effets des politiques de population sur la formation de la famille en Iran

3. Kari Skrede
The other side of the coin ? Changes in family policy, men's family roles, family formation and family dissolution in Norway over recent decades

4. Janusz Balicki
Conditions of social policy influence on demographic behaviors. Experiences from Central and Eastern Europe

Posters
P33.1 Nada Stropnik
Reliability of a Policy Acceptance and Attitude Survey for Formulating Family- and Population Policy

P33.2 Valentina Bodrova
Reproductive orientation of Russian population as a barometer of socio-economic processes during 1991-2000

P33.3 Nina Rusanova
Infertility and depopulation

P33.4 Alessandro Cigno
Transfers to families with children as a principal-agent problem



S34 Historical Demography
Chair: Tommy Bengtsson
Discussant: James Lee (Cttee on Historical Demography)

1. Marc Tremblay, Hélène Vézina and Louis Houde
Caractérisation des bassins génétiques regionaux d'une population à effets fondateurs à partir de réconstitutions généalogiques

2. Monica Ghirardi
Sexualité extra–matrimoniale à Córdoba, en Argentine.

3. James C. Riley
Recovery from disease and injury

4. Kaare Baevre
Two wrongs do not make a right: sex-differentials in mortality in Norway 1801-1930

Posters
P34.1 Sven Erik Mamelund
Effects of the Spanish Influenza pandemic on fertility and nuptiality in Norway

P34.2 Maria Norberta Amorim
The methodology of reconstituting parishes and desafios

P34.3 David Robicheau
The recovery of Mexico's rural population: a case study from rural Tlaxcala

P34.4 Eduardo San Marful Orbis
Cuba: population et sucre au XIXe siècle

P34.5 Snjezana Mrdjen
Régime(s) démographique(s) en Croatie au 19e siècle

P34.6 Y.C. Yu
When the population of China reached 100 million for the first time

P34.7 Jesus Javier Sanchez-Barricarte
Marriage patterns in Navarre



S35 Demography and politics
Chair: Ahmed Bahri
Discussant: Reynaldo F. Bajraj

1. Bruce Fetter
Enlarging the framework for political demography

2. Youssef Courbage
Utilisation politique de l'analyse démographique des minorités

3. Susanna Novick
Argentina´s recent population policies and political changes

4. Jacques Véron
Esquisse d'une histoire naturelle et politique de la population mondiale (1950-2000)

Posters
P35.1 Laurent Assogba et Richard Dackam
Déclarations de politiques de population en Afrique au sud du Sahara : des prises de position des Politiques en matière de population

P35.2 Kuluvayur Ramachandran
Role of Population Aspects on Politics in Developing Countries

P35.3 Bertil Egero
Global disorder: An important agenda for 21st century population studies

P35.4 Jill Keesbury
Global Politics and Population Policy Formulation in Pakistan: How Different is the Post-Cairo Era?

P35.5
Andréa Branco Simão, Claudia Júlia Horta & Simone Wajnman
The effects of labor force aging and female participation growth on the income inequality

P35.6 Parameswara Krishnan
Proximate Determinants of Political Demographic Change in India


S36 Statistical demography
Chair: Jan Hoëm
Discussant: TBI

1.
Francesco C. Billari, Johannes Fürnkranz & Alexia Prskawetz,
Timing, sequencing, and quantum of life course events: a machine learning approach

2. Marwan Khawaja
Bayesian analysis of clustered birth histories using frailty models

3. Amani Siyam
Gains in understanding the differentials of child survival using single-and multi-level models: a comparative study of Egypt, Sudan and Yemen

4. Kandala Ngianga-Bkwin, S. Lang, and S. Klasen
Semiparametric analysis of childhood undernutrition in developing countries

Posters
P36.1 Laurent Toulemon
Marriage intensity has to be computed from occurrence-exposure rates

P36.2 Suzuki Toru
Two sex proportional hazard model and marriage market analysis

P36.3 Ricardo Neupert
A probabilistic fertility model to analyze female life cycle stages in Chile

P36.4 Shalini Verma and K. B. Pathak
The process of marriage in India

P36.5 Charles Iwunor
A semi-Markov process model in human reproduction

P36.6 Bradley Love
Distributional characterization based on post-modal compression



S37 Qualitative methods in demography
Chair: John Knodel
Discussant: Alaka Basu

1. Appiah-Yeboah, Shirley Philomena Nyarko, Elizabeth Jackson, and Patricia Akweongo
Understanding Fertility Data using Qualitative Methods

2. Carmichael, Gordon and Andrea Whittaker
Asking the Actors: A Radical(?) Approach to Understanding Ongoing Fertility Decline in Australia

3. Coast, Ernestina
Ethnographic demography: the use of ethnographic texts by demographers

4. Yoder, P. Stanley
Conducting Qualitative Research on Demographic Issues

Posters
P37.1 Castle, Sarah; Dr. Sidy Traore
Qualitative research as a tool for orientating curricula and encouraging community participation in a sexual health peer education programme in Mali

P37.2 Schatz, Enid
Integrating qualitative and quantitative methodologies in demographic analysis: A study of Women's Status in rural Malawi

P37.3 Tichit, Christine
Du recueil à l'analyse biographique en démographie : les apports de l'approche qualitative

P37.4 Varga, Christine
Narrative Research Method: Elucidating the Dynamics of Pregnancy Resolution and Birth-Spacing

P37.5 Henry, Rebecca
Contraceptive Practice in Quirino Province, Philippines: Experience of Side Effects

P37.6 Miranda-Ribeiro, Paula
The use of focus group discussions in Demography: a methodological discussion

P37.7 Tuoane, Maletela
Conducting Focus Group Discussions: Lessons Learnt from Lesotho



S38 Labour force
Chair: Orlandina de Oliveira
Discussant: Irene Casique

1. Marie-Laure Coubés
Accés á l'emploi et transitions dans la biographie professionnellte: evolution selon le sexe et la génération au Mexique

2. Aris Ananta
Migration and Job Changes: a case study during Indonesian Crisis

3. Ana Maria Oliveira
Occupational Gender Segregation and Effects on Wages in Brazil

4. Catalina Wainerman and Marcela Cerrutti
Dual-Earner Couples in Buenos Aires. Structural Adjustment and the Female and Male Labour Force.

Posters
P38.1 Melinda Mills
Globalization and Market Capitalism: Regulating the Transition from School to Work

P38.3 Patricia Anderson
Poverty and Unemployment: The Prospect for Jamaican Youth

P38.4 Nadia Zibani
Children¨s Activities in Egypt:Gender Differences

P38.5 Anita Kon
Similarities and Differences in Latin American Countries Labour Structures

P38.6 Soumya Alva
Gender Differences in Employment Patterns in Vietnam: The role of Institutional Factors

P38.7 Suzy Pasleau
Women´s Labour in Belgium, 1991-2001

P38.8 Pradeep K. Mishra
Child Labour: The Hidden part of Labour Force, An Example of Indian States.

P38.9 Serge Feld
Evolution de la population active dans l'Union européenne et mouvements internationaux de main-d'oeuvre



S39 Population and development
Chair: Mark Montgomery
Discussant: Ronald D. Lee

1. Gustavo Angeles, David Guilkey, and Thomas Mroz,
Direct and indirect effects of health and family planning programs on fertility and mortality in Indonesia

2.
Héctor Pérez-Brignoli
Human capital and fertility decline, and economic development: The case of Costa Rican since 1950

3. Dikokole Maqutu,
A model for computing composite Human Development Index

4. Robyn Iredale and Fei Guo
The transforming role of skilled and business returnees: Taiwan, China and Bangladesh

Posters
P39.1 Thierry Linard de Guertechin
Impacts de la globalisation sur la population

P39.2 Ita I. Ekanem
The fundamentals of African population and development planning

P39.3 Nqobile Mavimbela
The South African population policy: Progress made in implementation

P39.4 Osman Nour,
Population policies in some Arab countries

P39.5 Richard Levicki
Sustainable development in Brazil: Coastal and Amazonian trends

P39.6 Paula Remoaldo and Anita Claudia Peixoto,
Population and sustainable development: The case of Agra village in the northwest of Portugal

P39.7 Yves Montenay
La productivite du systeme eco-demographique en periode de vieillissement

P39.8 Prasanta Kumar Majumdar, Dillip Kumar Dolui and Hiron Kumar Banerjee
Demand for child labour and fertility in agriculture sector: An experience from West Bengal, India

P39.10 Eric Adjei Boadu
Rapid population growth and development in Ghana



S40 Population projections
Chair: John Bongaarts
Discussant: Ronald D. Lee

1. Joseph Chamie
World Population in the Twenty-first Century.

2. Peter Way
Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS

3. Randy Bulatao
Visible and Invisible Sources of Error in World Population Projections

4. Wolfgang Lutz and Anne Goujon
Projections of the World Population by Level of Education

Posters
P40.1 Sawyer Diana Oya
A Procedure for Point and Interval Population Projections for Small Areas

P40.2 Saxena Prem Chandra
Population prospects for Lebanon: integrating education with Anne Goujon demographic dimensions

P40.3 Ana Maria Goldani
Future Perspective on Brazilian Families: An Application of the Dynamic Model of Family Profection (LIPRO) to the State of Sao Paulo



S41 Spatial mobility
Chair: Ronald Skeldon
Discussant: Graeme Hugo

1. Shekhar Mukherji
International Mobility Field Theory: Extension of The Mobility Field Theory for Linking Internal and International Migration

2. Angel Pascual-de-Sans
Sense of place and migratory histories. Idiotopy and idiotope.

3. Jose Marcos Pinto da Cunha & Izilda A. Rodrigues
The New Transition Space: new standpoint on São Paulo State's (Brazil) population redistribution process

4. Yanyi K.
Djamba, Sidney Goldstein & Alice Goldstein
Urban migrants and occupational change in three countries undergoing transitions

Posters
P41.1 Hogan Daniel Joseph et al.
Population Distribution and Environmental Change in Brazil's Center-West Region

P41.2 Reina Corona Cuapio & Leopoldo Núñez Fernández
Commuting in central region of Mexico



S42 Urbanisation: The Challenge of New Forms of Urban Growth
Chair: Susana Taschner
Discussant: William Frey

1. Hugo Graeme, Anthony Champion & Alfredo Lattes
New Conceptualisation of Settlement fro Demography: Beyond the Rural/Urban Dichotomy


2. Jones G.W.
Studying extended metropolitan regions in South East Asia

3. Zhu Yu
The transformation of townships into towns and their roles in China's urbanization - evidence from Fujian province.

4. Baeninger Rosana
Migration and urbanisation in Sao Paulo: The new scenario

Posters
P42.1 Bonifazi Corrado & Heins Franck
Dynamics of urbanisation in Italy

P42.2 Djamba Yanyi
Urbanisation, migration and fertility in Vietnam - a re-examination of the disruption hypothesis

P42.3 George MV
The impact of international and internal migration on Census Metropolitan Area population growth in Canada, 1986 to 1996

P42.4 Hakansson J:
Urbanisation and interpersonal accessibility in Sweden - the impact of population growth, redistribution and mobility over two centuries

P42.5 Kadi AS
A new trend of growth and distribution of urban population in developing countries - a case study of India

P42.6 Kadi AS, Megeri MN
Statistical analysis of urbanization - case study of India

P42.7 Kuhn Randall
Economic development, family integration and well-being - the failure of dualist development in Bangladesh

P42.9 Pace Roberta
Urbanisation in Northern Morocco - the different role played by internal migrants and return migrants

P42.10 Sivakumar D.
Urbanisation in India - strategies

P42.11 Vaidyanathan K E
Indicators of urbanisation and urban development - a methodological exploration.

P42.12 Zekri A.
Urban evolution and the spreading poverty in developing countries: - Morocco as an example.

P42.13 Costa Geraldo
New' forms of urbanization in Brazil: a case study in the metropolitan region of Belo Horizonte

P42.14 Costa Heloïsa S.M & Marcelo V.
Ramos
Porto Seguro, BA: The hidden face of touristic urbanisation

P42.15 Cunha JMP, Rodrigues IA
The new transition space: new standpoint on Sao Paulo State's population redistribution process

P42.16 Taschner Susana
Sao Paulo - segregation locus



S43 The demography of sub-Saharan Africa
Chair: Daniel Sala-Diakanda
Discussant: Jack Caldwell

1. Mary I. Mahy & Neeru Gupta
Trends and Differentials in Age at First Birth in Sub-Saharan Africa

2. Dominique Tabutin & Bruno Schoumaker
Une analyse régionale des transitions de fécondité en Afrique sub-saharienne

3. W. Lut, Scherbov, Paulina Makinwa-Adebusoye & G. Reniers
Modeling Population-Environment-Development-Agriculture Interactions for Science Policy Communication and Advocacy in Africa: the PEDA model

4. Rob Dorrington, David Schneider
Fitting the ASSA AIDS and Demographic Model to 12 Sub-Saharan Countries


Posters
P43.1 Eric O. Udjo
Marital Patterns and Fertility in South Africa: The evidence from the 1996 Population Census

P43.2 I. Kalule-Sabiti, A.Y. Amoateng
Alternative means of analysing time-variant independent variables measured at a single point in time: The case of age at first birth in the Western Cape province, South Africa

P43.3 Brian Pence, Philomena Nyarko, C. Debpuur &James F. Phillips
The impact of the Navrongo Community Health and Family Planning Project on Child Mortality, 1993-2000

P43.4 Myriam Mouvagha-Sow
Infécondité et mobilité conjugale au Gabon

P43.5 Chrysanth L. Kamuzora
Africa's emerging population, and last power asset: Ageing inevitable but possibly for into the future

P43.6 Yohannes Kinfu
Breaking the rules : A case of below-replacement fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa

P43.7 Toma J. Makannah
Demographic and Socio-economic Implications of Ageing in Sub-Saharan Africa

P43.8 Ita I. Ekanem
The Fundamentals of African Population and Development Planning: A Review of the Progress mande and the Way Forward

P43.9 Momodou Jasseh, Ian Timaeus
Age Patterns of Childhood Mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa: Recent Evidence from the Demographic and Health Surveys

P43.10 Vicky Hosegood, Annea-Maria Vanneste
The collection and analysis of demographic data in rural South Africa - challenges raised by the results from a household study in KwaZulu Natal.

P43.11 Emmanuel Ngwe
Les défis environnementaux de la croissance urbaine en Afrique



S44 The demography of Central and Eastern Europe
Chair: Anatoli Vishnevski
Discussant: France Meslé

1. Evgueni Andreev
Did the Economic Crisis Cause the Mortality Fluctuation in Russia in the 1990s?

2. Ward Kingkade and Cheryl Chriss Sawyer
Infant Mortality in Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union before and after the Breakup

3. Jean-Paul Sardon
Fécondité et transition en Europe centrale et orientale

4. Tomas Frejka, Ward Kingkade, Kalev Katus, Gérard Calot & Jean-Paul Sardon
Contemporary Cohort Reproductive Patterns in the Baltic Countries

Posters
P44.1 Florina Serbanescu, Howard Goldberg, Leo Morris
CDC-assisted Reproductive Health Surveys in Eastern Europe: Highlights and Policy

P44.2 VasileGhetau
La fécondité et la mortalité roumaine sous le choc de la transition économique et sociale

P44.3 Vladislava Stankuniene
A changing of Lithuanian Family through the 20th Century.

P44.4 Zhanna Zayonchkovskaya
The Postsoviet Space: the Migratory Situation on the Eve of the 21st Century.

P44.5 Sofija Adzic
Regional Policy and Managing Demographic Flows - The Case of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia.

P44.6 Valentina Bodrova
Reproductive Orientation of Russian Population As a Barometer of Socio-Economic Processes During 1991-2000.

P44.8 Irina Peaucelle
Human Life and Economy: Focus on the Russian Case

P44.9 Dimiter Philipov
Demographic Change in Central and Eastern Europe: Culture, Economy, and Social Norms in Transition

P44.10 Sergei Pirozhkov and Gaiane Safarova
Demographic Perspectives of Russia and Ukraine



S45 The demography of Latin-America
Chair: Jose-Miguel Gúzman
Discussant: Ana Maria Goldani

1.
Brígída Garcia & Olga Rojas
Recent Transformation in Latin American Families: A Socio-Demographic Perspective

2. Palloni, Alberto
The Demography of Latin America in the XXth Century: The influences of early and late globalization

3. Arodys Robles
Indigenous populations and mortality decline in Latin America

4. Canales, Alejandro
Migration and Labour in the context of globalization: The case of Migration from Mexico to the USA

Posters
P45.1 Romero Montilla, Dalia Elena
Economic Crisis and Infant Mortality since 1980. A study among Latin American countries and among the states Venezuelans.

P45.2 Nicholas B. Barkalov, Ph.D. and Sharon W. Kirmeyer, Ph.D
Parity-progression ratios of Latin American DHS countries: the role of sterilization

P45.3 Robichaux, David Luke
Globalization and demographic transition: Bucking national trends in rural Mexico

P45.4 Da Costa Leite, Gupta, Neeru and do Nascimiento Rodrigues, Roberto
Female Sterilization in Latin America: Cross National Perspectives

P45.5 R
Carla J. Machado & Kenneth Hill
The Information System on live births in Brazil, 1997: on the quality of birth weight and gestational age data



S46 Ethical issues in demography
Chair: Rosalind Petchesky
Discussant: Jose Barzelatto

1. Marge Berer
Abortion: Ethical, Legal and Policy Issues

2. Sonia Corrêa and Richard Parker
Sexuality and Human Rights: Rethinking Human Security, Sexual Rights and the Notion of Public Good

3. Jenna Hennebry
Ethical Implications of the Global Movement of People and Their Labour: The Case of Temporary Workers in Canada

4. Radhika Ramasubban
What Should Be the Role, Responsibilities and Rights of Men in Reproductive and Sexual Decision Making?

Posters
P46.1 Arlette Gautier
Quand l malmesure malmene, reflexions ethiques et methodologies a propos de enquets sur les violences conjugales

P46.2 Jane Cottingham
How Good Are Informed Consent Procedures in Contraceptive Research?



S47 Bio-demography of fertility and nuptiality
Chair: Hillard Kaplan
Discussant: Ulrich Mueller

1. Bock John
The bio-demography of fertility transition in Botswana

2.
Rebecca Sear, Mace Ruth & Ian A. McGregor
Determinants of fertility in rural Gambia: an evolutiaonary approach

3. Rodgers Joseph L., Hans-Peter Kohler, Kaare Christensen
Genetic Variance in Human Fertility: Biology, Psychology, or Both?

4. Campbell Benjamin, Paul Leslie, Rada Dyson-Hudson
Biodemography of Nuptiality Among the Turkana

Posters
P47.1 Borgerhoff Mulder, Monique
Optimizing offspring: the quantity-quality tradeoff in agropastoral Kipsigis

P47.2 Mueller UlrichIs
Is there a stabilizing selection around average fertility in modern human populations?

P47.3 Sinha Rabindra Kumar, G.Ramarao,Uma Saha
Impact of female age at marriage on some selected bio-demographic indicators:An India Experience

P47.4 Masciadri Viviana
Tendencias recientes en la constitución y disolución de las uniones en Argentina y Córdoba.

P47.5 Sinha Rabindra Kumar
Mate Selection in India: Influence of Consanguineous marriages on Pregnancy Wastage's

P47.6
Ester Rizzi & Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna,
The influence of PHY and sexual behavior on seasonality of conception



S48 The demography of vulnerable populations
Chair: Barney Cohen
Discussant: N.P. Das

1. Sajeda Amin and Mary Arends-Kuenning
What does it mean to be a vulnerable child in rural Bangladesh?

2. Ester Hanoomanjee
Economics of Vulnerable Groups - A Mauritian Case Study

3. Irene Rizzini
Vulnerable Children and Youth in Brazil: Reflections on "at-risk" children in low income communities in Rio de Janerio

4. Maria do Carmo Fonseca, José Teixeira Lopes Ribeiro; Rosemary Barber-Madden and Ana Maria Leitão
Gender and Family in Angola in a Situation of National War

Posters
P48.1 Madhumita Das
Assessing the Vulnerability of Girl Child In India

P48.2 Paulo de Martino Jannuzzi
Income and poverty levels of vulnerable groups in the nineties in Sao Paulo Metropolitan Area.

P48.3 Norma Meichtry and Alejandra Fantin
Demography of Indians and Creoles confronting by land ownership. Teuco-Bermejito area, Chaco, Argentina

P48.4 Mario Francisco Giani Monteiro
The socio-economic differentials of mortality at young ages (15q5) in the Municipality of Rio de Janeiro (Brazil)

P48.5 Udoy Sankar Saikia, Dr. Gour Dasvarma, Dr. Ross Steele
Ethnicity, Religion and Reproductive Behaviour in Two Indigenous Communities of Northeastern India

P48.6 Kalyan Brata Saha and Uma Saha
Reproductive Morbidity: A Threat to the Displaced and Ex-Criminal Tribe, Lodha of India

P.48.7 N. P. Das
The Growth and Development of Scheduled Caste and Scheduled Tribe Population in Gujarat and Future Prospects

P48.8 M.M. Gandotra and Gita Patel
The Demography of Tribal Population in Western India

P48.9 N.P. Das and Urvi Shah
Understanding Women's Reproductive Health Needs in Urban Slums in India: A Rapid Assessement



S49 Risk factors for HIV and responses
Chair: To be identified
Discussant: To be identified

1. Judith Glynn
HIV risk in relation to marriage in high prevalence areas, Southern Africa

2. Emmanuel Lagarde et al.
Mobility and HIV spread in rural areas of West Africa

3. Tais de Freitas Santos, Morvan Moreira and Fatima Juarez
Paths to safe sexual practices for young men in low income groups, Brazil

4. Akwara Priscilla 7 Nyovani Madise
The implications of young people's perceptions of sexual risks in Kenya



S50 The demography of indigenous populations
Chair: Raimondo Cagiano de Azevedo
Discussant: TBI

1. Torunn Pettersen
Compiling a Saami Social Science Database - can it be done without knowing who and how many the Saami are?

2. Udoy Sankar Saikia, Ross Steele & Gour Dasvama
Culture, Religion and Reproductive Behaviour in Two Indigenous Communities of Northeastern India

3. Ernestina Coast
Colonial preconceptions and contemporary demographic reality: Maasai and Tuareg

4. Norbert Robitaille, Eric Guimond
Impact de l'exogamie et de la natalité sur l'accroissement des groupes autochtones du Canada

Posters
P50.1 Nilza Olivieira Martins Pereira, Tereza Cristina Nascimento Araujo; Valéria Beiriz and Antonio Florido
Indigenous population in Brazil

P50.2 Marta Maria Azevedo
Brazilian demographic censuses and the "Indians": Difficulties in recognizing and counting

P50.3 Paul Clerc
Le Brésil en couleurs (Aspects démographiques de la grille socio-ethnique dans un pays: les catégories "cor ou raça" (couleur ou race) dans le recensement brésilien. Sur les migrations "coloriques", ou changements de couleur dans le cycle de vie)

P50.4 Margaret E. Greene, William H. Crocker
Demographic and cultural influences on marriage change among the Canela of Brazil

P50.5 Benoît Libali
La sédentarisation des pygmées et son impact sur leur développement dans les villages communautaires: cas du district de Sibiti

P50.6 Arup Maharatna
India's Tribal population: A demographic perspective

P50.7 Gladys Masse'
The experience about the issue of indigenous populations in 2001 population census of Argentina

P50.8 Aravinda Meera
The demography of Chenchu tribe in cultural context

P50.9 Peteris Zvidrins
Depopulation of ethnic Latvians



S51 Mathematical demography
Chair: To be identified
Discussant: Patrick Heuveline

1. Keilman, Nico
TFR predictions based on Brownian motion theory


3. Kohler, Hans-Peter and J.A. Ortega
Period Parity Progression Measures with Continued Fertility Postponement: A New Look at the Implications of Delayed Childbearing for Cohort Fertility and Long-term Population Growth

4. Goldstein, Joshua and Kenneth Wachter
Survey-Based Stochastic Kinship Forecasting

Posters
P51.1 Ram, Fauzdar, and Saket Kumar
Population Momentum and Convergence to Stability in India and its Major states

P51.2 Guillot, Michel
The Momentum of Mortality Decline

P51.3 Mroz, Thomas
Direct and Indirect Effects of Health and Family Planning Programs on Fertility and Mortality in Indonesia

P51.5 Hirosima, Kiyosi
Decomposing Recent FertilityDecline: How Have Cohort Nuptiality and Marital Fertility Affected in Japan?

P51.6 Radnoti, Laszlo
The Impact of Substance Abuse on Mortality



S52 Estimating and Modelling the Impact of HIV/AIDS
Chair: To be identified
Discussant: Kenneth Hill

1. Patrick Heuveline
The Demographic Impact of the HIV Epidemic in High Prevalence Populations in Southern and Eastern Africa

2. Rob Dorrington
The demographic impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa by province, race and class

3. Ian Timæus
Orphanhood in populations with generalised AIDS epidemics: methods and results

4. Annababette Wils and Warren Sanderson
Cocktails of hope: simulating the effects of HIV/AIDS intervention strategies in Botswana, Mozambique and Namibia 2000-2020



S53 Demography and education
Chair: David Lam
Discussant: TBI

1. Marteleto Leticia
Children's Schooling in Brazil: Do Number and Composition of Siblings Matter?

2. Pederzini Carla
Household and Education of Mexican Men and Women

3. Razzaque Abdur
Family size and children's education in Matlab, Bangladesh

4. Zibani Nadia
Children's Activities in Egypt: Gender Differences

Posters
P53.1 Barbosa Maria
The impact of school automatic promotion on student proficiency: a study in Southeast of Brazil

P53.2 Lloyd Cynthia B.
The effect of public primary school access and quality on school enrollment in rural Pakistan

P53.3 Sibanda Amson
Racial Differences in Educational Attainment in South Africa

P53.4 Wils Annababette
Young Entrants Stay in School Longer: An Example from Mozambique

P53.5 José Irineu Rangel
Rigotti & Philip R. Fletcher
Growth of Educational Opportunities in Brazil during the 1980s and 1990s

P53.6 Nayak Debendra
Tribes and Literacy: A Geographical Perspective on the Pattern of Literacy in Meghalaya, India

P53.8 Roig Marta
The Influence of Origin on Educational Attainment in Spain

P53.9 Cecilia Rabell and Marta Mier y Teran
Gender Inequality in Mexican Youths' Schooling and the Role Played by Family Forms

P53.10 Jose Marcos Pinto da Cunha and Manuel Orrillo,
Estimates of demand for basic education using a schooling flow model

P53.11 Nimfa Ogena
Work, Schooling, Migration, Marriage and Fertility: Competing Options in Two Philippine Cities

P53.12 Linda Hegelsson
A time-space analysis on girls' access to education. The case of Northern Mozambique



S54 Time and anthropological demography
Chair: To be identified
Discussant: Caroline Bledsoe

1. Anthony T. Carter
Time and Decisions in Family Planning Counseling

2. Jennifer Johnsons-Hanks
On the Modernity of Traditional Contraception: Time and the Social Context of Fertility

3. Stephen C. Lubkemann
Embedded Time and Dispersed Place: Gendered Differences in Mozambican "Lifespace"

4. Melinda Mills
Providing space for time: The multiple impacts of temporality on demographic research



S55 Family versus state care for the elderly
Chair: Emily Grundy
Discussant: Sophie Pennec

1. Mikhail Denissenko
Intergeneration transfers of the elderly in Russian cities

2. Victor Gomez
Health well-being and filial support among Costa Rican rural elderly

3. Laurent Martel and Jacques Légaré
Determinants du recours aux services formels de soins chez les personnes agees du Quebec

4. Paulo Saad
Support transfers between elderly parents and adult children in two Brazilian urban settings

Posters
P55.1 Alice Delerue Alvim de Matos
La prise en charge des personnes agees au Portugal: peut -on reduire le role de l'Etat?

P55.2 Esther Hanoomanjee
Four generation families and implications for the provision of care for the aged

P55.3 Fernando Rajulton and Zenaida Ravanera
Family and community support for the elderly in Canada

P55.4 M Sivamurthy and A.R. Wadakannavar
Care and support to the elderly population in India: results of a survey of the aged in rural North Karnataka (India)

P.55.5 Elena VVedenskaya
Satisfaction with life: one of the parameters defining the social care for the elderly



S56 Unintended fertility
Chair: Gigi Santow
Discussant: Dominique Meekers

1. Abbasi Mohammad, Mehryar A., Delavar B; and Hosseini M;
Unintended fertility in the Islamic Republic of Iran: Trends and correlates

2. Ali, Cleland and Shah
The condom quandary for family planning programmes in developing countries

3. Ralph Hakkert
Levels and determinants of wanted and unwanted fertility in Latin America

4. Abdur Razzaque, Ahmed, Alam and van Ginneken
Fertility intention and subsequent abortion in Matlab, Bangladesh

Posters
P56.1 Jacob Adetunji
Family building without a plan: Unintended childbearing in developing countries

P56.2 Evi Nurvidya Anwar, Ian Diamond and John McDonald
Unintended pregnancy from contraceptive failure: Levels, trends and differentials in Indonesia, 1986-91 and 1989-94

P56.3 Stan Becker
Fertility intentions: Are the undecided more like those who want more or want no more children?

P56.4 Rafiqul Huda Chaudhury
Unmet need for contraception in south Asia

P56.5 William Muhwava
Measurement and determinants of unwanted fertility in Zimbabwe

P56.6 Nawar Laila
Unplanned pregnancies in Egypt: How much do we know about causes and consequences?

P56.7 Ram
Unwanted pregnancies among tribal and Muslim women of Maharashtra, India

P56.8 Gurumurthy Rangaiyan and Rajan Adhikari
Determinants of unintended childbearing in Nepal: Evidence from the Nepal Family Health Survey 1996

P56.9 Laurent Toulemon
Fertility intentions of both partners and unintended fertility



S57 Women's labour: Production and reproduction
Chair: Hildete Pereira de Melo
Discussant: Zeba Sathar

1. Batthyany Karina
Productive and reproductive work: cares and family responsibilities as a central element of their reconciliation (Uruguay)

2. Gibson Mhairi & Ruth Mace
The Impact of Labor-saving Technology on Fertility in Rural Ethiopia

3. Jatrana Santosh
Does maternal employment affect child care arrangements and breastfeeding differently to boys and girls? Evidence from rural north India

4. Rodric Beaujot
Models of earning and caring (Canada)

Posters
P57.1 Mejjati Alami Rajaa
Femmes et Marche du travail au Maroc

P57.2 Pereira de Melo Hildete
Travail Industriel Féminin (Brazil)

P57.3 Vanderemeersch Celine
Le Travail des femmes ( Senegal)

P57.4 Puur Allan
Female Economic Activity In Transition: The Case Of Estonia During The 1990s

P57.5 Gultiano Soccorro A.
Fertility regulation and Wives Employment: Do Husbands See the Link?

P57.6 Elizabeth Kayiba Mbelu
Activite Economique et genre cas de la femme Congolaise

P57.7 Shahnaz Kazi
Womens work as a route to empowerment in rural Pakistan



S58 Family demography from children's perspectives
Chair: Kathleen Kiernan
Discussant: TBI

1. Gunnar Andersson
Children's experience of family disruption and family formation: evidence from 16 FFS countries.

2. Patrick Heuveline, Jeffrey M.Timberlake and Franck F. Furstenberg
An international comparison of children's experience of family structure.

3. Catherine Villeneuve-Gokalp
Consequences of family breakdown on the departure of children from the parental home and forming unions.

4. Don Kerr, Roderic Beaujot & Rajulton Fernando
Family Relations, Low Income and Child Outcomes: A Comparison of Canadian Children in Intact, Step and Lone Parent Families

Posters
P58.1 Teresa Abada and Michael Gillepsie
Family Structure and Child outcomes: economic resources versus parenting styles

P58.2 Fransisco Munoz-Perez
The filiation of children born outside wedlock in France

P58.3 Nompulelelo Nzimande
Family structure as a determinant of infant mortality in South Africa

P58.5 Zoë Sheppard
Child Fostering in Ghana



S59 Population change and changes in the international order
Chair: Geoffrey McNicoll
Discussant: Joseph Chamie

1. Eduardo J. Viola
Population weights and the politics of the Kyoto Protocol

2. Colin Kahl
States, Scarcity, and strife in the developing world

3. Josef Schmid
Political responses to immigration pressures in the European Union

4. Paul Demeny
Proliferation and coalescence of states: the population dimension

Posters
P59.1 Jill Keesbury,
Global politics and population policy formulation in Pakistan

P59.2 Jill Keesbury,
Human rights and the international population community



S60 Adolescent fertility and reproductive health
Chair: Fatima Juarez
Discussant: Thomas LeGrand

1. Susheela Singh and Akinrinola Bankole
Gender Differences in sexual and contraceptive behavior: Adolescents in Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean

2. Paul W. Stupp and José Mario Cáceres
The Relationship between Age at Completion of Schooling and Age at First Birth in El Salvador

3. Ngalinda, Innocent
Socio-economic Factors Associated with Premarital child bearing and Adolescents Age at first Motherhood.

4. Malika Benradi
La sante reproductive des meres Celibataires: les cas des meres adolescentes


Posters
P60.1 Elinor Bisig
The adolescents' fertility and health of the reproduction in Argentina

P60.2 Chiweni Chimbwete, Nyovani Madise and Ian Diamond
Early childbearing in Malawi in the context of high risk of HIV infection

P60.3 Ana Luisa Davila, Luisa Alvarez, Hernando Mattei
The Demographic and Cultural Context of Adolescent Fertility in Cuba and Puerto Rico

P60.4 Claudia Gras
Brazilian Adolescents' First Birth: Trends and Socialization Influences

P60.5 Emmanuel Chike
Ihejiamaizu
Adolescent Fertility Behaviour in Nigeria: Trends and Determinants

P60.6 Ismet Koç & Turgay Ünalan
Adolescent Reproductive Behaviour in Turkey

P60.7 Catherine Menkes, Nuñez Leopoldo, Suarez Leticia
Santé reproductive des adolescents et des jeunes au Méxique

P60.8 Vijayan K. Pillai & Guang-zhen Wang
Adolescent Reproductive health in Developing Countries.

P60.9 Burcu Savas
Determinants of adolescent fertility-related behaviour in Turkey

P60.10 Cesar Schwenck and Elisabeth Ferraz
Brazilian adolescents: sexual and reproductive health

P60.11 Nicole Stone and Roger Ingham
Factors affecting young people's contraceptive use at first intercourse

P60.12 C A Varga
Zulu Girls' Contraceptive Decision-making: Condoms vs. Female Methods

P60.13 Meekers Dominique and Klein Megan
Understanding Gender Differences in Condom Use Self-Efficacy among Young Adults in Urban Cameroon

P60.14 Emmanuel O. Tawiah
Adolescent Fertility and Reproductive Health in Four sub-Saharan African Countries

P60.15 Cecilia Gayet
With whom do young people discuss sexual and reproductive health?


S61 Paleodemography
Chair: Lourdes Márquez
Discussant: TBI

1. Robert D. Hoppa
25 Years after Petersen: Future in paleodemography

2. Alan Goodman
Connecting infant-childhood morbidity and later mortality: a view from studies of skeletal populations

3. Jean Pierre Bocquet-Appel
Observed Pattern for the growth rate of the Neolithic Demographic transition in Europe from Paleodemographic data

4. Richard Meindl
Overcoming Biases in the Paleodemographic record: estimating adult skeletal age, and population growth with an example for the Archaic period of the Eastern Woodlands,USA

Posters
P61.1 Noël Bonneuil
The closest demographic route to a Stable population fitting acumulated distribution of death by age: application to skeletal data

P61.2 Patricia Olga Hernández Espinoza
A Paleodemographic Essay: Three case studies in Ancient Mesoamerican Population

P61.3 Luc Buchet, I. Seguy, M.Belaigues-Rossard
L'age au dècés des enfants. Nouvelles approches paleodemographiques.

P61.4 Rebeca Storey
A comparision of the Skeletal Ages at death of Children and Adults from three Pre-columbian Mesoamerican Population

P61.5 I. Séguy, L. Buchet, M. Belaigues-Rossard
Nouvelles tables de mortalité (life table) pour paléodémographes: Présentation - Discussion - Applications



S62 The new demography of the Arab region
Chair: Hoda Rashad
Discussant: TBI

1. John B. Casterline and Laila El-Zeini.
Demographic transition and the demography of the family.

2. Marwan Khawaja
Fertility of Palestinian Women in the West Bank, Gaza, Jordan, and
Lebanon.


3. Rshood M. Khraif
Fertility in Saudi Arabia: Levels and Determinants.

4. Abdel-Ilah Yaakoubd
Catégories sociales et comportements reproductifs en Afrique du Nord : une analyse comparative

Posters
P62.1 Kathryn Yount
Gender, Health, and Informal Support of the elderly: Challenges of Population Aging in the Middle East.

P62.2 Mary E. Deeb, Hala Naufal
Fertility in Lebanon: Does the Transition Pattern Differ from other Arab States Model?

P62.3 Zahia Ouadah-Bedidi
La Baisse de la Fécondite Algérienne: Un Processus de Diffusion Geographique?

P62.4 Rozzet Jurdi and Prem C. Saxena
The Prevalence and Correlates of Consanguineous Marriages in Yemen: Similarities and Contrasts with Other Arab Countries.

P62.5 Thankam S. Sunil
Reproductive Health in Yemen: A Proposed Scale for Measurement.

P62.6 Jon Pedersen
Recent Changes in Marriage and Fertility in Palestine, Jordan and Syria and their Implication for the Theory of and "Arab" Transition.

P62.7 Nagah Hassan Al-Bassusi
Egypt's Public Economic Policy and Career Aspiration of Young Female Workers.

P62.8 Fathy M. Abou-Aianah.
Female Education and the Socio-economic Transition in the Arab Region

P62.9 Asya Ali Masoud Al-Riyami
The proximate determinates of fertility decline in Oman

P62.10 Fatima-Zohra Oufriha
Les paradoxes de la démographie et de l'économie algerienne crise et retournement du comportement fecond : quelles liaisons?


S63 Social change, gender and population
Chair: Thérèse Locoh
Discussant: Paulina Makinwa-Adebusoye

1.Judith Bannister
China Gender and population today

2.Monica Das Gupta, Sunhwa Lee, Patricia Uberoi, Danning Wang, Lihong Wang and Xiaodan Zhang
State policy and women's autonomy in China, India and the Republic of Korea 1950-2000: Lessons from contrasting experiences

3.Christine Ouedraogo
Genre et changement social, une étude de cas en milieu rural (Burkina-Faso)

4. Giovanna Di Stefano and Antonnella Pinelli
Women and men at the top : gender, family formation and dissolution

Posters
P63.1 Acharya Rajib
Gender and development in India: Recent findings

P63.2 Ariza Marina
Basic Agreements and Disagreements in the gender-demography relashionship

P63.3 Andro Armelle
Evolution of men and women contraceptive use in West Africa Did the Cairo program of action change something?

P63.4 Attane Isabelle
China's family planning program against women's interests?

P63.6 Boadu Eric Adjei
Gender disparities in education, health and labour force participation in Ghana

P63.7 Brugeilles Carole
Autonomie dans la planification de la fécondité et politique démographique : l'exemple du Mexique

P63.8 Cambois Emmanuelle
L'inégalité des hommes et des femmes face aux inégalités sociales de mortalité : le rôle de la mobilité professionnelle en France

P63.10 Chen Charles H.C., Goldberg Howard I., Rao Keqin and Wang Caiyou
Socio-demographic differentials in gender inequalities in the Chinese population

P63.11 Connelly Rachel, Gu Baochang, Roberts Kenneth Xhie Zhemming and Zheng Zhenzhen
The impact of Migration on the Status of Women and Reproductive Health in Rural China

P63.12 Eckardt Suzanne
L' autonomie écomique des femmes et ses effets sur différents comportements démographiques. Le cas de l'Indonésie

P63.13 Fonseca Maria do Carmo, Perpetuo Ignez H.O. and Wong Laura Rodriguez
Changes in gender relationship and possibilities of a second demographic transition in Brazil

P63.14 Gadeyne Sylvie
The determinants of fertility in India. Aggregated and individual analysis based on the national family and health survey, 1992-93

P63.15 Gautier Arlette
Des grossesses sûres, désirées et libres?

P63.16 Guillot Michel
Changes in the population sex ratio in India: what do they imply for women's status

P63.17 Jaspard Maryse and Brown Elisabeth
Les violences envers les femmes, question centrale des études de genre

P63.18 Kalabikhina Irina E.
The role of gender factor in population mortality

P63.19 Kapil Ahmed
The Effect of Son Preference on Abortion in rural Bangladesh

P63.20 Lorca Noemi
Gender perspectives and fertility in andean mythology

P63.21 Maiti Sutapa
Correlating women's status & domestic violence:evidences from Rajasthan, India

P63.22 Majumdar Poushali and Gupta D.B.
Safe motherhood: an evaluation of the ICDS in India

P63.23 Marcoux Richard
Nuptialité, pauverté et appauvrissement à Bamako : une analyse de genre pour tenter de comprendre une transition de crise

P63.24 Metei Hemanta
Education or earning and access to ressources determining women's autonomy: an experience among women of Manipur

P63.25 Mondain Nathalie
Les changements dans la formation des unions au Sénégal et au Zimbabwe: une approche qualitative des enjeux démographiques de la nuptialité en Afrique

P63.26 Neira Orjuela Fernando
Productive transformations and family dynamics in a transitional context from rurral to urban. The case of the hothouses in Calton-Xochimilco

P63.27 Paredes Mariana
Reproductive histories, family dynamics and gender identities: the Uruguayan case study

P63.28 Peracca Sara
Unexpected Outcomes of an Environmental Project: Gender Equality and Contraceptive Knowledge

P63.31 Shreeniwas Sudha and Rajan Irudaya S.
Increasing gender bias in India, 1981-1991: district level patterns of estimated sex ratios of child mortality

P63.32 Valetas Marie-France
Dénomination et statut différentiel de la femme et de l'homme



S64 Population change and political transitions
Chair: Massimo Livi Bacci
Discussant: Alan Hill


1. Alex A. Weinrab
A State-Centered, Political Capital Approach to the Explanation of Demographic Differences: With Special Reference to Regional/Ethnic Inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa

2. Sergio Della Pergola,
Demography in Israel/Palestine: Trends, prospects, policy implications.

3. Maria Giovanna Merli
Recent dimensions and future prospects of the Chinese family planning program: Implications for policy implementation and fertility levels

4. Mario Boleda,
Instabilité politique et instabilité démograhique

Posters
P64.1 Dimiter Philipov and Vladimir Shkolnikov,
Fertility Intentions during an abrupt social, political and economic transition: the case of Russia

P64.2 M. Macura,
Recent fertility decline in central and eastern Europe. What the underpinning?

P64.3 V. Jayachandran, Lisa Zottarelli and Thankam Sunil,
Effects of health care on population change in Russia

P64.4 Guri Tyldum,
The risk of getting children. An analysis of the changes in fertility rates in the Baltic countries in the year following the break up of the Soviet Union.

P64.5 Victor Agadjanian and Ekaterina Makarova,
The demographic response to dramatic societal transformation. Nuptiality and Fertility in Uzbekistan

P64.6 Ileana Kohler,
How exceptional is the mortality development during the 1990s in Bulgaria and Russia?



S65* Teaching demography
Chair: Graziella Caselli (Working Group on Teaching)
Discussant: TBI

1. James R. Carey
Why biodemography should be included in demography coursework

2. Alberto Palloni and James Vaupel
Rethink the teaching of demography: new challenges and opportunities

3. Thomas K. Burch
Teaching demography: Ten Principles and Two Rationales

5. Nair P.Sadasivan
Teaching demography in India: Problems and Prospects.

6. Hildegard Ruzibiza
Manuel générique de formation de formateurs aux politiques et programmes de population


* Session with a special format



S66* Demographic software
Chair: Sergei Scherbov
Discussant: Nico Keilman

1. Luciano Petrioli
Prodemog 3.0 - A demographic software for Windows

2. Zeng Yi and Zhenglian Wang
ProFamy - A User-Friendly Software for Family Household Projection Using Demographic Rates as Input

3. Henk B.M. Hilderink
Phoenix: An integrated modelling framework for population projections

4. Gilles Pison
"6 milliards d'hommes"a CD-Rom and a web site for education on population

Posters
P66.1 Justus Benzler, Samuel Clark
Achieving Temporal Integrity in Demographic Surveillance

*Session with a special format



S67 Demographic dimensions of land use and land cover change
Chair: Malcolm Potts
Discussant: Wolfgang Lutz

1. Richard Billsborrow and William K.Y. Pan
Population change, land use, and the environment in the Ecuadorian Amazon

2. Marcia Caldas de Castro, Burton Singer
Malaria foci and colonization process on the Amazon frontier: new evidence from a spatial analysis and GIS approach

3. Margaret E. Greene and Brian Greenberg
Beyond the Malthusian legacy: a demographic approach to social ecology

4. Charles H. Wood and Robert Walker
Land titles, tenure security and resource use among small farmers in Brazilian Amazon



S68 Population Applications of Spatial Analysis System (SIS)
Chair: Graeme Hugo
Discussant: TBI

1. John Long, David R. Rain and Michael R. Ratcliffe
Population density vs. Urban population: Comparative GIS studies in China, India, and the United States

2. Gerald Haberkorn
Populating polygons: Social and demographic applications of geographic and spatial information technology in rural and regional Australia

3. J.F. de Abreu; Claudio C. Machado
Elderly migration flows in Brazil: A spatial analysis using data of 1980/1991

4. Gustavo Henrique Naves Givisiez
Hospital demand: Using GIS and spatiality analysis for estimation



S69 Census Data in the 21st Century
Chair: Zuberi Tukufu
Discussant: Amadou Noumbissi

1. Ayaga Bawah
Living Standard, Household Size and Childhood Survival in Africa: Evidence from Census Data

2. Amson Sibandaa
Escaping rural poverty: Are South African rural migrants doing just as well as their urban counterparts?

3. Aldo Orasi and Angela Ferruzza
Enumeration structure and Units of analysis of the Italian 2001 population census

4. Robert McCaa, Rodolfo Gutiérrez and Gabriela Vásquez
Women in the workforce: calibrating census microdata against a gold standard Mexico, 1990 and 2000

Posters
P69.1 Benjamin Zanou, and Albert Nyankawindemera
Migration et répartition spatiale de la population en Côte-d'Ivoire

P69.2 Yohannes Kinfu
Political reform, economic decline and internal migration in Ethiopia: A Census-based analysis

P69.3 Giusti Alejandro
Argentina. Mobility, networks of exchange and circulation among migrants from bordering countries: a supplementary study based on the 2001 census

P69.4 Tukufu Zuberi, Amadou Noumbissi, Pali Lehohla and Gideon Rutaremwa
Harmonizing African Census Data Across Years Using GIS: A Case Study of South Africa, 1991 and 1996

P.69.5 Ita I. Ekanem
The fundamentals of African population and development planning", A review of the progress made and the way forward

P69.6 Ngalinda, Innocent
Socio-economic Factors Associated with Premarital child bearing and Adolescents' Age at first Motherhood



S70 The demography of low fertility
Chair: Peter McDonald (Working Group on Low Fertility)
Discussant: Ron Lesthaeghe

1. P. S. Nair
Below replacement fertility in Kerala: so what?

2. Gijs Beets and Edith Dourleijn
Low and late fertility is expected to continue: will new population policy measures interfere?

3. Hillard Kaplan, W.T. Tucker and K.G. Anderson
An evolutionary approach to below replacement fertility.

4. Hans-Peter Kohler, F. Billari and J. Ortega
Towards a theory of lowest-low fertility

Posters
P70.1 Lisbeth B. Knudsen
On the relationship between current fertility situation, previous pregnancy history and childlessness among women in their 30s in Denmark

P70.3 Serguey Ivanov
Eastern European fertility in the late 20th century: trends, patterns and demographic implications

P70.5 Lisa Francovich
Fertility at older ages in Italy: How to understand better?



S71 A view on poverty and inequality on economics in transition
Chair: Chrysanth L. Kamuzora
Discussant: To be identified

1. Yan Hao
Urban Poverty in China: An Emerging Challenge to a Economy in Transition

2. Lilia Oycharova and Irina Kortchagui
Identification of Families with the Greatest Risk to Become Poor in Transitional Russia

3. Silvina Ramos Margarido and Nicolas Arceo
Socio-Demographic Characteristics, Poverty and Income Distribution in Argentina in the Nineties

4.Gladys Lopes-Acevedo
Evolution of Earning and Rates of Returns to Education in Mexico



S73 Adult mortality in developing countries: causes and determinants
Chair: Sethuramiah Rao
Discussant: Alan Lopez

1. Judith Banister
Adult Mortality in China: Puzzles and Transitions

2. Alejandro Aguirre
Homicide mortality in Latin America

3. Sofiane Bouhdiba
Evolution de la structure par cause de déces urbans en Tunisie

4. Linda Duffy and Jane Menken
The Short- and Long- term effects of reproduction on mortality: Evidence from Matlab, Bangladesh



S74 Emerging health threats (B)
Chair: James Vaupel
Discussant: Narayan Sastry

1. Pridemore William A.
Homicide as an emerging health threat among selected population

2. Alfred Nizard
Un fleau contemporain: le suicide. Ses variations dans le monde depuis 1950

3. Gumber Anil
Cost of burden of injury in India: an emerging public health threat

4. Chowdury A.M.R. et al.
Arsenic in drinking water: an emerging health threat in Bangladesh



S75 Family planning programmes: Evaluation issues
Chair: Cheikh Mbacke
Discussant: Zeba Sathar

1. Aparicio, Ricardo
Institutional and familial determinants of unmet needs for family planning services in Mexico: situation and perspectives

2. Chen, Charles H.C. et al.
Demographic Impacts of Improved Quality of Family Planning Services - Results from a field experiment in China

3. RamaRao, Saumya and Anrudh Jain.
Quality of Services: Issues of Measurement

4. Tsui, Amy et al.
A Comparative Multi-Level Analysis of Health Program Effects On Individual Use of Family Planning and Other Reproductive Health Services

Posters
P75.1 Benaya, Kabwe et.al..
Regional differentials in family Planning use in Zambia

P75.2 Hossain, Mian Bazle & James Phillips.
Family Planning Program and Fertility Transition in Bangladesh

P75.3 Khan, Mehrab Ali, et al..
A Comparison of House-to-House Visit versus Fixed Site Centre for FP Service Delivery

P75.4 Martha Campbell
The need for a barriers index

P75.5 Roy, T.K. et al..
Does Unmet Need Meet the Program Requirements? Findings from Resurvey of Women in Central India

P75.6 Tuoane, 'Maletela
Reasons for Contraceptive Nonuse in Lesotho



S76 Abortion levels and trends around the world
Chair:Susheela Singh
Discussant: Malcolm Potts

1. Howard I. Goldberg & Florina Serbanescu
Relationships between abortion and contraception in republics of the former Soviet Union

2. Hélène Kafé &Nicolas Brouard
How have the pregnancies of teenagers evolved in 20 years in France?

3. Xiaochun Qiao & Chirayath Suchindran
Levels and determinants of induced abortion in China in the 1990s

4. Mizanur Rahman, Julie DaVanzo & Abdur Razzaque
Do better family planning services reduce abortion? Evidence from Bangladesh



S77 Male Reproduction and Sexual Roles in Africa
Chair: John Cleland
Discussant: Valerie Delaunay

1. Bankole, Akinrinola and Singh, Susheela
Men and condom use for dual protection in Sub-Saharan Africa

2. Andro, Armelle
Evolution des comportements contraceptifs masculins selon le statut matrimonial en afrique de l'ouest au cours de la décennie 90

3. Mondain, Natalie
Transformations du processus d'entree en union en milieu rural Senegalais

4. Wolff, Brent; Steven Tollman; Mark Collinson;
Male migrants, outside wives, and the diffision of family planning practice in South Africa

Posters
P77.1 Govinder, Kesh and Varga
Male Sexuality and Parenthood: Views from South African Youth

P77.2 Kuyoh, Maureen A. , Nyovani Madise and Michael Welsh;
The other half: Male reproductive health in Kenya



S78 Sexuality and gender
Chair: Maria Luiza Heilborn
Discussant: Michel Hubert

1. Margrethe Silberschmidt
Changing gender roles and male disempowermentin rural and urban East Africa: a neglected dimension in the study of sexual and reproductive behaviour in East Africa

2. Simon Szreter &Kate Fischer
Courtship, birth control and sexuality in two contrasting communities in England (1930-1950)

3. M. E. Khan
Peeping behind the closed doors: a qualitative study of the sexual behaviour of married women in Bangladesh

4. Fatima Juarez & Tais de Freitas
Determinants of unsafe sexual practices by young men in the shanty towns of Brazil



S79 International migration: MERCOSUR region
Chair: Mary M. Kritz
Discussant: Maria Garcia Castro

1. Rosa Ester Rossini
Illusion migratoire ou le Rve ralis: Migration Internationale du Brésil au Japon

2. Sylvain Souchaud
Les nouvelles migrations brsiliennes et l'intgration rgionale dans le Mercosud

3. Hernn Otero
Endogamie et intgration des immigrants en Argentine ds une perspective régionale

4. Neide Lopes Patarra and Rosana Baeninger
Frontier and Migration in Mercosur: Meaning, Specificities, and Implications



S80 Internal migration: Social processes and national patterns
Chair: To be identified
Discussant: Richard Bilsborrow

1. Suzanna Eckhardt
Are married couples' migration decisions pareto efficient? Evidence from Indonesia

2. Randall Kuhn
Understanding the social process of migration in Bangladesh

3. Paulina Makinwa-Adebusoye, Georges Reniers
Gender and rural-urban migration in Africa

4. Shekhar Mukherji
Low quality migration in India: The phenomena of distressed migration and acute urban decay



S81 Child Labour, Education and Fertility
Chair: Daniela Del Boca
Discussant: Anne H. Gauthier

1. Alessandro Cigno and Furio C. Rosati
Why do Indian children work, and is it bad for them?

2. Prasanta K. Majumdar, Dilip K. Dolui and Hiron K. Banerjee
Agricultural Modernisation, Child Labour and Fertility: Rural West Bengal, India

3. David Lam, Suzanne Duryea and Deborah Levison
Effects of economic shocks on on children's employment and schooling in Brazil

4. Silvia Pasqua
A bargaining model for gender bias in education in poor countries

Posters
P81.1 Tulhi Saha
Household resources and child labor: survival strategies in rural Bangladesh

P81.2 Sara Peracca
Adolescent schooling and economic change in Thailand

P81.3 Athena Tapales
Work and adolescence in the United States: Understanding the role of work among high school students and dropouts



S82 Population Processes and Ethnicity in Comparative Historical Perspective: Persistence and Paradox
Chair: TBI
Discussant: James Riley

1. Tommy Bengtsson and Cameron Campbell
Effects of short-term economic stress on mortality in five historical societies in Europe and Asia: framework and results

2. George Alter, C. Campbell, Matteo Manfredini, Paul Nystedt and Emiko Ochiai
Gender and Mortality

3. Noriko O.
Tsuya, Paul Nystedt, Matteo Manfredini, Muriel Neven and Cameron Campbell
Economic fluctuations, household factors, and old-age mortality: a comparative analysis of five historical societies in Europe and Asia

4. James Lee and Emiko Ochiai
Domestic group organisation and demographic behavior in Eurasia, 1750-1900: a reassessment of metageography



S83 Urbanization: Urban Population Dynamics
Chair: Anthony Champion (Working Group on Urbanisation)
Discussant: Barney Cohen

1. Zlotnik Hania and Buettner Thomas
The components of urban growth revisited

2. Montgomery Mark
Urban population dynamics in the developing world

3. Bhagat RB
Urbanization in India - a demographic reappraisal

4. Frey William H.
Immigration's impact on urbanization in developed countries - a United States case study



S84 The many faces of the African demography
Chair: Jack Caldwell
Discussant: Thérèse Locoh

1. Allan G. Hill, Amy A. Ratcliffe
The changing demography of polygyny in Sub-Saharan Africa

2. Sangeetha Madhavan,
Alayne Adams and Dominique Simon
Households and Networks: Measuring the Social Worlds of Fertility Behaviour

3. Patrice Vimard, Raïmi Fassassi et Edouard Talnan
Le début de la transition de la fécondité en Afrique sub-saharienne: Un bilan autour des exemples du Kenya, du Ghana et de la Côte d'Ivoire

4. Benoît Kalasa
Population Ageing in Africa: A Policy Dilemma?



S85 Adolescent Sexual and Reproductive Health
Chair: To be identified
Discussant: Shireen Jejeebhoy

1. Neeru Gupta and Mary Mahy
Sexual Initiation among Adolescent Women and Men: Trends and Differentials in Sub-Saharan Africa

2. Akim J. Mturi
Parents’ Attitudes to Adolescent Sexual Behaviour in Lesotho

3. Hidayana Irwan
Homogenization and Peer Group: A study of adolescent sexual behavior in Indonesia

4. Wamucii Njogu and Teresa Castro Martín
The persisting gap between knowledge and risk prevention in the context of AIDS among Kenyan youth

Posters
P85.1 Ana Paula Franco Viegas-Pereira
Determinants of the use of preservative among adolescents in Belo Horizonte/Brazil in an era of AIDS

P85.2 Kivumbi George Washington and Mpabulungi Lillian
Meeting Adolescents where they are in provision of Friedly Health Services: Lessons form a Need Assessment in Uganda

P85.3 Rafiqul Huda Chaudhury, Bina Pradhan and Wasim Zaman
Reproductive health profile of adolescents in South Asia

P85.4 M. Kapil Ahmed, M. Harun-ur-Rashid and Abdur Razzaque
Adolescent Abortion: A view from rural Bangladesh

P85.5 M.B. Mello, Sousa, M.H., Díaz, M. & Faúndes, A.
Knowledge, attitude and sexual behavior of Brazilian adolescents participating in a sex education program

P85.6 Rajesh Nainakwal and Manisha Nainakwal
Adolescent Sexual Behavior, Contraception, and Unsafe Abortion (A Study on the College Student in Mumbai)

P85.7 S.Srinivasan and P.Murugesan
Adolescent fertility and Reproductive Health in Some Asian Countries: An Enquiry

P85.8 Rob Ubaidur and M. Kabir
Friendly Reproductive Health Services for Adolescents: Observation from a Pilot Project

P85.9 Chukwudum Uche and Vincent-Osaghae, Gloria.
Adolescent Sexual Behaviour: A Study of Nigerian Villages

P85.10 Irina Zhuravleva
The Problems of Teenager's Reproductive Health



S86 Young People Reproductive Health: Different Approaches and New Issues
Chair: Elza Berquó
Discussant: Dominique Meekers

1. Roger Ingham, Nicole Stone and
Peter Aggleton
A dynamic contextual analysis of the barriers and opportunities for improving young peoples sexual and reproductive health

2. Claudio Stern,
Elizabeth Cueva, Elizabeth García, Yuriria Rodríguez and Yuriria Rodríguez
Gender stereotypes, sexual relations, and adolescent pregnancy in the lives of youngsters of different sociocultural groups in Mexico

3. Reynolds, Heidi W., Bouvier-Colle, Marie-Helene, and Bennett, Trude
Adolescents' use of health care services and risk for maternal morbidity in West Africa: the MOMA study.

4. Barbara S. Mensch, Paul Hewett and Annabel Erulkar
The Reporting of Sensitive Behavior Among Adolescents: A Methodological Experiment in Kenya

Posters
P86.1 Lutfa Begum and Jeroen Van Ginneken
Adolescents' reproductive health status related to contemporary factors, with special emphasis on gender differences in Bangladesh.

P86.2 Dipankar Bhattacharya
Quality of care aspects in reproductive health services in India: Evidence National Famiy Health Survey -2

P86.3 N.P. Das and Urvi Shah
Understanding Women's Reproductive Health Needs in Urban Slums in India: A Rapid Assessment

P86.4 Carlos Javier Echarri and Pérez Amador, Julieta
Becoming adults: life course transitions in Mexican young people

P86.5 José Miguel Guzmán; Ralph Hakkert & Juan Manuel Contreras
Adolescent fertility and reproductive health in Latin America

P86.6 Neusa Marques and John Simons
Motivational determinants of teenage pregnancy in a deprived area of Recife, Brazil

P86.7 Stembile Matatu, Wangoi Njau and Fatu Yumkella
To Reach the Youth: Creating Adolescent-Friendly Reproductive Health Services in Uganda

P86.8 Roger Patulny, Christine Varga
Zulu Youths Affective Plans: implications for reproductive behavior change

P86.9 J.M.C. Santos Silva and M.G. Magalhães
Teenage Fertility in Portugal: Exposure to risk and the effects of contraceptive use

P86.10 Sampurna Sarin
Reproductive Health of Adolescent: A Study From Rural Uttar Pradesh



S87 Gender as a determinant of demographic trends
Chair: Maria Cosio-Zavala (For the Committee on Gender and Population)
Discussant: Edith A. Pantelides

1. Casique Irène
What difference does it make? Women's autonomy and power and use of contraception in Mexico

2. Bhat Mary and Zavier Francis
Fertility decline and gender bias in Northern India

3. Jeejeeboy Shireen, Sathar Zeba and Callum Christine
Women's autonomy and Reproductive change in India and Pakistan

4. Sheppard Zoe, Madise Nyovani and Hennink Monique
Gender and risk of HIV in in Ghana and Uganda


S88 Gender roles at change and population outcomes
Chair: Marcela Villarreal
Discussant: Victor Piché

1. Bélanger Daniele
The impact of demographic change on gender: increasing son preference in Vietnam

2. Garcia Brigida and de Oliveira Orlandina
Fatherhood among middle and low income sectors of Urban Mexico

3. Hertrich Véronique et Lesclingand Marie
L'entrée dans l'âge adulte en milieu rural africain : vers une convergence des trajectoires masculines et féminines ? Le cas des Bwa du Mali

4. Kritz Mary
Couple Agreement on Wife's Autonomy and Reproductive Dynamics in Nigeria



Other Poster Sessions / Autres Séances par Affiches

P0.1 Bozbeyoglu Cavlin Alanur and Isil Onan
Changes in the Demographic Characteristics of Gokceada

P0.2 Miljanic Brinkworth Maya
Population distribution and sustainable development in the
Maltese Islands

P0.3 Rosalie Michel, Zoe Matthews and Andy Hinde
The Sad Fate of Seychellois Men: Recent Trends in Mortality in the Seychelles

P0.4 Chatterjee(Saha) Uma
Seasonality of births in rural eastern India: A study of its magnitude, direction and correlates

P0.5 Alexandra Sarikaki
Determinants of low fertility in Greece: Policy interactions and public perceptions

P0.6 Kavita Singh
Child mortality in refugee and host populations

P0.7 Abdellaziz Bouisri
Mortalité maternelle en Algérie (1999)

P0.8 Rob Stephenson, Monique Hennink
Developing a protocol for the effective dissemination of reproductive health research

P0.9 Ann M. Moore
Sexuality education, contraceptive use and sexual empowerment in Vila California, São Paulo, Brazil